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Brisbane Broncos vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction: Broncos Predicted to Win Sunday's NRL Round 11 Matchup [5/18/2025]

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Written by Damien Souness

Our expert prediction for Sunday's Brisbane Broncos vs St George Illawarra Dragons matchup.

Brisbane Broncos-St George Illawarra Dragons Predictions and Game Preview.
Suncorp Stadium sets the stage for the NRL matchup between the Brisbane Broncos and St George Illawarra Dragons this Sunday.

The Brisbane Broncos will face the St George Illawarra Dragons in National Rugby League (NRL) action at Suncorp Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 12:00AM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NRL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Broncos as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's St George-Broncos game," said Pat Sharyon from Dimers.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Broncos with a win probability of 77%, while the Dragons have 23%."

For further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Dragons vs. Broncos predictions page.

Broncos vs. Dragons Prediction: Who Will Win Round 11 Game?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NRL matchup between the Dragons and Broncos 10,000 times as part of our NRL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Broncos a 77% chance of defeating the Dragons.

According to our model, the Broncos (-11.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 50.5- over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.

 

St George vs. Broncos Odds

We have sourced the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Dragons Broncos
H2H (Moneyline) +275 -370
Line (Spread) +11.5 (-105) -11.5 (-120)
Total o50.5 (-112) u50.5 (-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Broncos vs. Dragons Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's Australian rugby league game between the Broncos and Dragons at Suncorp Stadium is scheduled to commence at 12:00AM ET.

  • Who: St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Brisbane Broncos
  • Date: Sunday, May 18, 2025
  • Time: 12:00AM ET/9:00PM PT
  • Venue: Suncorp Stadium

The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Dragons vs. Broncos matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any St George vs. Broncos picks, be sure to check out the latest NRL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Broncos, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat the Dragons on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Dragons vs. Broncos insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NRL

Stay informed with the latest NRL betting news and parlay picks throughout the season.

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Written by
Damien Souness
Chief Innovation Officer

Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.

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