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Sporting Kansas City vs. St Louis City Prediction, Odds, Picks, and MLS Season Pass Discount Code [4/5/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Saturday's Sporting Kansas City vs St Louis City matchup.
Sporting KC will take on St Louis City in MLS action at Children's Mercy Park in Kansas City, Kansas on Saturday, commencing at 8:30PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLS model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Sporting KC as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Sporting KC-St Louis City game," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.
"By incorporating recent updates and various factors, our prediction gives Sporting KC a 44.0% chance of winning, St Louis City a 30.7% chance, and a 25.2% chance of a draw."
For a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Sporting KC vs. St Louis City predictions page.
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Sporting Kansas City vs. St Louis City Prediction: Who Will Win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLS game between Sporting KC and St Louis City 10,000 times as part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 44.0% chance of Sporting KC winning, a 30.7% chance for St Louis City, and a 25.2% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 52% chance of going over, according to our model.
Sporting Kansas City vs. St Louis City Odds
We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Sporting KC | St Louis City | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +110 | +250 | +240 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -132 | +108 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Sporting Kansas City vs. St Louis City Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Sporting Kansas City vs. St Louis City matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best MLS picks and MLS best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Sporting Kansas City vs. St Louis City: Correct Score Predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| SKC 1-1 STL | 11.9% |
| SKC 1-0 STL | 9.7% |
| SKC 2-1 STL | 9.1% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Sporting Kansas City vs. St Louis City Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Saturday's game between Sporting KC and St Louis City in MLS at Children's Mercy Park is scheduled to start at 8:30PM ET.
- Who: Sporting Kansas City vs. St Louis City
- Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025
- Time: 8:30PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
Dimers.com's full preview of Saturday's Sporting KC vs. St Louis City matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any St Louis City vs. Sporting KC picks, be sure to check out the latest MLS predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Sporting KC has a 44.0% win probability on Saturday, St Louis City has a 30.7% win probability, and there is a 25.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sporting KC vs. St Louis City insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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