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Santos Laguna vs. Toluca Prediction, Odds, Liga MX Picks [7/16/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Our expert prediction for Wednesday's Santos Laguna vs Toluca matchup.
Santos Laguna and Toluca will meet in Liga MX at Estadio Corona on Wednesday, with kickoff at 11:05PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Toluca as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Santos Laguna-Toluca game 10,000 times," said Dave Garofolo from Dimers.
"Taking into account the most current updates and numerous additional factors, our prediction gives Santos Laguna a 15.3% chance of winning, Toluca a 65.0% chance, and a 19.7% chance of a draw."
For further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Santos Laguna vs. Toluca predictions page.
Santos Laguna vs. Toluca Prediction: Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Liga MX matchup between Santos Laguna and Toluca 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 15.3% chance of Santos Laguna winning, a 65.0% chance for Toluca, and a 19.7% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 59% chance of going over, according to our model.
Santos Laguna vs. Toluca Odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Santos Laguna | Toluca | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +260 | +105 | +270 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -160 | +116 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Santos Laguna vs. Toluca Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Santos Laguna vs. Toluca matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best Liga MX picks and Liga MX best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Santos Laguna vs. Toluca: Correct Score and BTTS Predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 Toluca win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| SLA 0-2 TOL | 10.7% |
| SLA 0-1 TOL | 10% |
| SLA 1-2 TOL | 9.9% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 53.3% chance of the yes hitting, and a 46.7% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.
Santos Laguna vs. Toluca Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Wednesday's action between Santos Laguna and Toluca at Estadio Corona is scheduled to begin at 11:05PM ET.
- Who: Santos Laguna vs. Toluca
- Date: Wednesday, July 16, 2025
- Time: 11:05PM ET/8:05PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Corona
Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Wednesday's Santos Laguna vs. Toluca matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Toluca vs. Santos Laguna picks, be sure to check out the latest Liga MX predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Santos Laguna has a 15.3% win probability on Wednesday, Toluca has a 65.0% win probability, and there is a 19.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Santos Laguna vs. Toluca insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on Liga MX
Stay up-to-date with the latest Liga MX news and parlay picks throughout the season.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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