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Real Sociedad vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction, Odds, La Liga Picks [5/4/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert prediction for Sunday's Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao matchup.
La Liga action continues on Sunday at 3:00PM ET as Athletic Bilbao locks horns with Real Sociedad at Reale Arena.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced La Liga model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Real Sociedad as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Real Sociedad-Athletic Bilbao game," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.
"Incorporating the most recent updates along with numerous other variables, our prediction gives Real Sociedad a 36.6% chance of winning, Athletic Bilbao a 33.6% chance, and a 29.8% chance of a draw."
For a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Real Sociedad vs. Athletic Bilbao predictions page.
Real Sociedad vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction: Who Will Win?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's La Liga match between Real Sociedad and Athletic Bilbao 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 36.6% chance of Real Sociedad winning, a 33.6% chance for Athletic Bilbao, and a 29.8% chance of a draw.
Real Sociedad vs. Athletic Bilbao Odds
We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Market | Real Sociedad | Athletic Bilbao | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +150 | +220 | +190 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Real Sociedad vs. Athletic Bilbao Picks and Best Bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Real Sociedad vs. Athletic Bilbao matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best La Liga picks and La Liga best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Real Sociedad vs. Athletic Bilbao: Correct Score and BTTS Predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| SOC 1-1 ATB | 13.5% |
| SOC 1-0 ATB | 13.1% |
| SOC 0-1 ATB | 12.4% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 42.6% chance that both teams scoring, and a 57.4% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Real Sociedad vs. Athletic Bilbao Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Sunday's La Liga game between Real Sociedad and Athletic Bilbao at Reale Arena is scheduled to begin in the USA at 3:00PM ET.
- Who: Real Sociedad vs. Athletic Bilbao
- Date: Sunday, May 4, 2025
- Time: 3:00PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: Reale Arena
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Real Sociedad vs. Athletic Bilbao matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Sociedad picks, be sure to check out the latest La Liga predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Real Sociedad has a 36.6% win probability on Sunday, Athletic Bilbao has a 33.6% win probability, and there is a 29.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Real Sociedad vs. Athletic Bilbao insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on La Liga
Stay up-to-date with the latest La Liga news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our La Liga futures odds offer the latest predictions for each La Liga title contender.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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