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Ravens vs. Buccaneers Computer Picks, NFL Odds and Prediction for Thursday Night Football on October 27, 2022
Updated: | First published:
Written by Zachary Cohen
The Baltimore Ravens will be looking to deal the Tampa Bay Buccaneers their third loss in a row when these two teams meet in Florida for Thursday Night Football at 8:15PM ET on October 27. These are two teams that appear to be heading in opposite directions right now, so it'll be interesting to see how they look on a short week. These Thursday games can be pretty ugly, but John Harbaugh is a great coach and Tom Brady is as experienced as they come. If anybody can figure out the short week, it's them.
Find out how we think this one will play out in our Ravens vs. Buccaneers betting preview.
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Ravens vs. Buccaneers Computer Picks
Predictive Analytics Data
- 56% chance the Bucs cover the +1.5 spread
- 52% chance the Ravens win on the moneyline
- 52% chance Ravens vs. Bucs goes Over 44.5
For the best NFL computer picks, check out our Ravens vs. Buccaneers data predictions. They are constantly updating based on hundreds of different data points.
Ravens vs. Buccaneers Odds and Betting Lines
Why The Ravens Will Cover The Spread
Under Harbaugh, the Ravens are a ridiculous 26-6 against the spread after having failed to cover in four or five of their previous six games. Baltimore has won those games by an average of exactly one touchdown, and the Ravens are going to be going into Tampa Bay feeling like they have a great shot at coming away with a win.
The Buccaneers look like a broken football team right now, with Tom Brady and the passing game underperforming and the the defense coming off of a performance in which it made PJ Walker look like a star. If the latter isn't solved by Thursday, Lamar Jackson is going to torch Tampa Bay. Also, Gus Edwards could have a big day on the ground, as the Panthers diced the Buccaneers up in the ground game — despite having traded Christian McCaffrey earlier in the week.
MORE: NFL Futures Probabilities
Watch this week's episode of The Early Dime to see what bets the DimersBOT loves for Sunday
Why The Bucs Will Cover The Spread
The Ravens are 2-9 ATS when coming off a home game over the last two years, and the Bucs are 3-0 ATS as home underdogs over the last three seasons. And as bad as things have been for this Tampa Bay team, everybody knows that this group has the talent to turn things around in a hurry.
The Baltimore passing defense also happens to be a very beatable group, so Brady will have the opportunity to make some throws in this game. It will, however, be interesting to see how the Tampa Bay offensive line holds up. The team struggled a bit to block for Leonard Fournette in short yardage situations last week, but that isn't something we've seen very often.
Also, it's only a matter of time before Todd Bowles figures out how to get his defense going.
Why The Over Will Hit
As mentioned earlier, this Ravens defense isn't like the ones we're used to seeing in the last decade. We have seen Baltimore get torched in the passing game by quite a few teams, so it wouldn't be all that surprising if this was a game in which Brady and Co. got themselves going.
If Tampa Bay can score, Over bettors will have to be feeling pretty good about themselves. There's just no way that the Buccaneers will be able to completely shut Lamar down, making it likely this would turn into a shootout.
RELATED: Full betting previews for every NFL game
Why The Under Will Hit
The Under is 4-9-1 in Ravens games with a line between +3 and -3 over the last three seasons, so their games that are expected to be close generally end up being on the low-scoring side. Also, Thursday Night Football games tend to be pretty sloppy, so that always makes the Under a decent play.
It also doesn't hurt that the Tampa Bay offense is scoring more points per game than only six teams in the league. That will likely change as Brady gets a little more comfortable this season, but it can't be ignored.
Ravens vs. Buccaneers Prediction
Lean: Ravens -1.5
It's hard to envision the Buccaneers coming out and beating the Ravens on a short week. They looked absolutely dreadful in Week 7 and Baltimore is beginning to play some good football.
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Written by
Zachary Cohen Zachary Cohen, a University of Wisconsin graduate, has written about betting and fantasy sports for prominent outlets like Covers, Sports Illustrated, Forbes Sports, Tennis Channel, and FOX Bet, with a strong focus on the NBA and college athletics.
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