Premier League Soccer Bets: Two Value Picks for Saturday EPL

Saturday's Premier League action presents a unique opportunity for shrewd bettors, with two matchups featuring teams that are struggling to find the back of the net. Based on a blend of predictive analytics and recent form, we're making the bold argument for a pair of 0-0 draws on Saturday, September 20, 2025.

We saw two 0-0 draws in EPL action last weekend, and we think that trend can continue into Matchday 5 on Saturday.

IMPORTANT: Both of these bets come with long odds, so a key part of your strategy should be to stay agile and ready to adapt as the matches unfold. If either game remains scoreless into the second half, it could be a great opportunity to use the "cash out" feature on your sports betting site. While cashing out a ticket before the final whistle might seem counterintuitive, it does allow you to lock in a profit and mitigate risk, especially with tickets that could turn into a loss with a single late goal.

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Leeds vs. Wolves Correct Score: 0-0 (+750)

The first match we're targeting is the clash between newly-promoted Leeds United and a Wolverhampton Wanderers side that is desperate for points. Both teams are in a miserable run of form, and the numbers from the Dimers predictive model back up the idea that this will be a low-scoring encounter. Our model gives a 0-0 draw a massive 9% probability, a figure we rarely see for this specific outcome.

A deeper dive into each team's recent performance confirms this bleak outlook. Leeds, who currently sit 16th on the table, have scored just one goal (1-0 win over Everton) in their first four games of the season. Their last two results were a 0-0 draw with Newcastle and a heartbreaking late own goal loss to Fulham. While they've shown they can hold a defensive line, they are clearly struggling to create a consistent attacking threat.

Meanwhile, Wolves are languishing at the bottom of the league, having failed to pick up a single point in four outings. Their two goals scored in the league came in a chaotic 3-2 loss to Everton, and overall their Premier League form is abysmal. They've been soundly beaten by Manchester City (0-4), Bournemouth (0-1), Everton (2-3), and Newcastle (0-1), demonstrating a complete inability to find the back of the net. With a combined total of just three goals between them in eight games, this match has all the makings of a stalemate.

FULL PREVIEW: Leeds vs. Wolves Predictions

The Dimers predictions model gives the 0-0 draw a massive 9% probability.

Nottingham Forest vs. Burnley: Correct Score 0-0 (+1000)

The second match on our radar is Nottingham Forest's trip to face Burnley at Turf Moor. Here, the narrative for a 0-0 draw is just as compelling, if not more so.

Burnley, having recently been promoted, have proven to be an incredibly tough team to break down at home, a fact that's supported by their recent form. They were only beaten by a 95th-minute penalty from the reigning champions, Liverpool, in their last home match, and they've long demonstrated a strong defensive resolve at home. The Clarets had previously been 14 months unbeaten at Turf Moor before Mo Salah saved Liverpool's blushes last weekend.

Nottingham Forest, on the other hand, are in a state of flux. New manager Ange Postecoglou has had a difficult start to his tenure, with back-to-back defeats. A 3-0 loss to Arsenal in the league was followed by a disappointing 3-2 Carabao Cup defeat to Swansea, where Forest let a two-goal lead slip. The team is still in "experimentation mode" under their new boss, and with just four goals in four Premier League games, they will find it incredibly difficult to break down a well-organized Burnley defense at their home fortress.

The stats don't lie: these are two teams that are struggling to score and will likely cancel each other out in a defensive battle.

ANALYSIS: Nottingham Forest vs. Burnley predictions

There's a 7% chance this one ends 0-0 on Saturday.

The Verdict

While a 0-0 draw is never the most exciting result to bet on, the data and the narratives for both of these matches on Saturday are too strong to ignore. With the Dimers model giving the Leeds-Wolves match a rare 9% probability for a goalless draw, and Nottingham Forest's attacking woes clashing with Burnley's home solidity, we're making the case for a double 0-0 draw. Get in on the action and watch as these defensive battles unfold!

Remember to keep an eye on the live scores, as well as any cash out options available to you through your sports betting app.