Steelers vs. Jets prediction: Pittsburgh favored to win in NFL Week 1, 2025

The New York Jets will take on the Pittsburgh Steelers in NFL Week 1 action at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model predicts the Steelers as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Steelers-Jets game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Steelers with a win probability of 61%, while the Jets have 39%."

This updated Steelers vs. Jets betting preview builds on my Steelers vs. Jets prediction that was posted earlier in the week.

For a closer look at today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Steelers vs. Jets predictions page.

Steelers vs. Jets Predictions

Since our Steelers-Jets predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Steelers and Jets 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Steelers a 61% chance of defeating the Jets in Week 1 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Steelers winning 20-17.

According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and the Steelers and Jets each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 37.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of going over.

Steelers vs. Jets odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Steelers	Jets
Spread	-3 (-110)	+3 (-110)
Moneyline	-155	+140
Total	o37.5 (-110)	u37.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Steelers vs. Jets picks and best bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Steelers vs. Jets matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks and NFL best bets for every game throughout the season, with today's best NFL bets populating now.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Steelers vs. Jets TD scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Steelers vs. Jets?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 1, New York's Breece Hall is most likely to score the first touchdown in Steelers vs. Jets.

Our projections give Hall a 9.6% chance of getting in for six first at MetLife Stadium, while the Jets running back is a 34.0% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.

First touchdown scorer predictions

Pittsburgh Steelers

Player	First TD Probability
DK Metcalf (WR)	9.4%
Jaylen Warren (RB)	8.9%
Kaleb Johnson (RB)	6.6%

New York Jets

Player	First TD Probability
Breece Hall (RB)	9.6%
Justin Fields (QB)	8.6%
Garrett Wilson (WR)	7.1%

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Pittsburgh Steelers

Player	Anytime TD Probability
DK Metcalf (WR)	32.6%
Jaylen Warren (RB)	31.1%
Kaleb Johnson (RB)	24.2%

New York Jets

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Breece Hall (RB)	34.0%
Justin Fields (QB)	31.1%
Garrett Wilson (WR)	26.5%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 1 touchdown scorer predictions

Steelers vs Jets player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Steelers and Jets. For more, check out today's highest-probability NFL prop bets.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Steelers-Jets page now to access every player prop projection.

Steelers vs. Jets quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Steelers' Aaron Rodgers is projected to throw for more yards than the Jets' Justin Fields.

Steelers rushing

Jaylen Warren, Kaleb Johnson and Kenneth Gainwell are projected to be the leading rushers for the Steelers.

Player	Position
Jaylen Warren	RB
Kaleb Johnson	RB
Kenneth Gainwell	RB

Jets rushing

Breece Hall, Justin Fields and Braelon Allen are expected to lead the Jets in rushing yards.

Player	Position
Breece Hall	RB
Justin Fields	QB
Braelon Allen	RB

Steelers receiving

DK Metcalf, Pat Freiermuth, Jonnu Smith, Calvin Austin and Roman Wilson are projected to top the receiving yards for the Steelers.

Player	Position
DK Metcalf	WR
Pat Freiermuth	TE
Jonnu Smith	TE
Calvin Austin	WR
Roman Wilson	WR

Jets receiving

Garrett Wilson, Josh Reynolds, Mason Taylor, Breece Hall and Tyler Johnson are projected to lead the Jets in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Garrett Wilson	WR
Josh Reynolds	WR
Mason Taylor	TE
Breece Hall	RB
Tyler Johnson	WR

Steelers vs. Jets game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 1 action between the Jets and Steelers at MetLife Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New York Jets
• Date: Sunday, September 7, 2025
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: MetLife Stadium

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Sunday's Steelers vs. Jets matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Steelers vs. Jets picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Steelers, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Jets in Week 1 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Steelers vs. Jets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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