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Pirates vs. Phillies Prediction: Philadelphia Predicted to Win Sunday's MLB Matchup [5/18/2025]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Our expert prediction for Sunday's Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies matchup.

Pittsburgh Pirates-Philadelphia Phillies Predictions and Game Preview.
Citizens Bank Park sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Philadelphia Phillies this Sunday.

The Philadelphia Phillies and Pittsburgh Pirates are scheduled to meet in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday, starting at 1:35PM ET.

Mick Abel (0-0, 0.00 ERA) will start on the mound for the Phillies, up against Paul Skenes (3-4, 2.63 ERA) for the Pirates.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Phillies as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Pittsburgh-Philadelphia game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Phillies with a win probability of 51%, while the Pirates have 49%."

For further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Pirates vs. Phillies predictions page.

Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB matchup between the Pirates and Phillies 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Phillies a 51% chance of beating the Pirates.

According to our model, the Phillies (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.

 

Pirates vs. Phillies Odds [5/18/2025]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Pirates Phillies
Run Line -1.5 (+145) +1.5 (-170)
Moneyline -110 -105
Total o8.5 (-120) u8.5 (+102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Pirates vs. Phillies Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Pirates vs. Phillies matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot's Free ⚾️ Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the free picks featured below.

Pirates vs. Phillies Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's MLB matchup between the Phillies and Pirates at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to start at 1:35PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Pirates vs. Phillies matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Pittsburgh vs. Philadelphia picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights

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Conclusion

We predict the Phillies, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Pirates on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Pirates vs. Phillies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Keep up with the latest MLB news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the latest probabilities for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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