Pirates vs. Braves prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [9/28/2025]

The Atlanta Braves and Pittsburgh Pirates are scheduled to meet in MLB action at Truist Park on Sunday, starting at 3:15PM ET.

The Braves will have Charlie Morton (9-11, 5.89 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Pirates are going with Johan Oviedo (2-0, 3.57 ERA).

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model predicts the Braves as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Pirates-Braves game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Braves with a win probability of 64%, while the Pirates have 36%."

For a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Pirates vs. Braves predictions page.

Braves vs. Pirates prediction: Who will win, cover the run line?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLB game between the Pirates and Braves 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Braves a 64% chance of defeating the Pirates.

According to our model, the Pirates (+1.5) have a 55% chance of covering the run line, while the 7.5-run over/under has a 61% chance of going over.

Pirates vs. Braves odds [9/28/2025]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Pirates	Braves
Run Line	+1.5 (-126)	-1.5 (+115)
Moneyline	+168	-190
Total	o7.5 (-115)	u7.5 (-103)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Pirates vs. Braves picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Pirates vs. Braves matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot's free ⚾️ picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the free picks featured below.

Pirates vs. Braves game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's MLB game between the Braves and Pirates at Truist Park is scheduled to commence at 3:15PM ET.

• Who: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves
• Date: Sunday, September 28, 2025
• Time: 3:15PM ET/12:15PM PT
• Venue: Truist Park

Dimers' comprehensive preview of Sunday's Pirates vs. Braves matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Pirates vs. Braves picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Braves, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat the Pirates on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Pirates vs. Braves insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Keep up with the latest MLB betting news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the most accurate projections for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.