Mercury vs. Mystics prediction: Why Phoenix is favored to win Thursday's WNBA matchup [9/4/2025]

The Washington Mystics will face the favored Phoenix Mercury in WNBA action at CareFirst Arena on Thursday, beginning at 7:30PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Mercury as the most likely winner of today's game.

The Mystics, with the likes of Kiki Iriafen, Shakira Austin and Sonia Citron, are set to take on the Mercury, whose lineup includes Satou Sabally, Kahleah Copper and Alyssa Thomas.

For expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Mercury vs. Mystics predictions page.

Mystics vs. Mercury prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's WNBA matchup between the Mercury and Mystics 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Mercury an 84% chance of defeating the Mystics.

According to our model, the Mercury (-9.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 159-point over/under has a 59% chance of going over.

Mercury vs. Mystics odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Mercury	Mystics
Spread	-9.5 (-110)	+9.5 (-120)
Moneyline	-450	+360
Total	o159 (-114)	u159 (-106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Mercury vs. Mystics picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Mercury vs. Mystics matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best WNBA picks and WNBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Mercury vs. Mystics player props

Betting on Mercury vs. Mystics WNBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at CareFirst Arena.

Satou Sabally is expected to lead the Mercury in scoring, while Kiki Iriafen is projected to be the top scorer for the Mystics.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every WNBA game this season.

Mercury vs. Mystics game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's matchup between the Mystics and Mercury at CareFirst Arena is scheduled to start at 7:30PM ET.

• Who: Phoenix Mercury vs. Washington Mystics
• Date: Thursday, September 4, 2025
• Time: 7:30PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: CareFirst Arena

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Thursday's Mercury vs. Mystics matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Mercury vs. Mystics picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Mercury, with an 84% win probability, will likely beat the Mystics on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mercury vs. Mystics insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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