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Mercury vs. Storm prediction: Tight battle projected in updated analysis for Sunday's WNBA game [8/17/2025]

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Written by Mac Douglass

Our expert prediction for Sunday's Phoenix Mercury vs Seattle Storm matchup.

Phoenix Mercury-Seattle Storm Predictions and Game Preview.
Climate Pledge Arena sets the stage for the WNBA matchup between the Phoenix Mercury and Seattle Storm this Sunday.

The Seattle Storm will square off with the Phoenix Mercury in WNBA action at Climate Pledge Arena on Sunday, starting at 6:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts an equal chance for both the Storm and Mercury to win today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Mercury-Storm game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Based on the latest updates and extensive data, we predict a 50-50 chance for both the Storm and Mercury, making it a highly competitive matchup."

The Storm, who have the likes of Nneka Ogwumike, Skylar Diggins-Smith and Brittney Sykes, will face off against the Mercury, who feature Kahleah Copper, Satou Sabally and Alyssa Thomas.

For expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Mercury vs. Storm predictions page.


Storm vs. Mercury prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's WNBA game between the Mercury and Storm 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model can't split the two teams, giving both the Mercury and Storm a 50% chance of winning the game.

According to our model, the Mercury (+2) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 164.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.

 

Mercury vs. Storm odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Mercury Storm
Spread +2 (-108) -2 (-110)
Moneyline +114 -125
Total o164.5 (-110) u164.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Mercury vs. Storm picks and best bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Mercury vs. Storm matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best WNBA picks and WNBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Mercury vs. Storm player props

WNBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on Sunday's Phoenix vs. Seattle matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Climate Pledge Arena.

Kahleah Copper is expected to lead the Mercury with 18 points, 5 rebounds and 2 assists, while Nneka Ogwumike is projected to have 17 points, 8 rebounds and 2 assists for the Storm.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every WNBA game this season.

Mercury vs. Storm game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's matchup between the Storm and Mercury at Climate Pledge Arena is scheduled to start at 6:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Mercury vs. Storm matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Mercury vs. Storm picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict a close game between the Mercury and Storm on Sunday, with each team having a 50% chance of winning.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mercury vs. Storm insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on WNBA

Keep up with the latest WNBA betting news and WNBA parlay picks throughout the season.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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