Mercury vs. Liberty Prediction: New York Predicted to Win Friday's WNBA Game [7/25/2025]

The New York Liberty will square off with the Phoenix Mercury in WNBA action at Barclays Center on Friday, starting at 7:30PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Liberty as the most likely winner of today's game.

The Liberty, with stars like Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu and Jonquel Jones, will face off against the Mercury, who feature Kahleah Copper, Satou Sabally and Alyssa Thomas.

For further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Mercury vs. Liberty predictions page.

Liberty vs. Mercury Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's WNBA matchup between the Mercury and Liberty 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Liberty a 64% chance of defeating the Mercury.

According to our model, the Mercury (+6) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 171.5 points has a 60% chance of staying under.

Mercury vs. Liberty Odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Mercury	Liberty
Spread	+6 (-108)	-6 (-110)
Moneyline	+220	-260
Total	o171.5 (-115)	u171.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Mercury vs. Liberty Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Mercury vs. Liberty matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best WNBA picks and WNBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Mercury vs. Liberty Player Props

WNBA player props are a popular way to wager on Friday's Phoenix vs. New York matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Barclays Center.

Kahleah Copper is expected to lead the Mercury with 14 points, 3 rebounds and 1 assists, while Breanna Stewart is projected to have 21 points, 8 rebounds and 4 assists for the Liberty.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every WNBA game this season.

Mercury vs. Liberty Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Friday's matchup between the Liberty and Mercury at Barclays Center is scheduled to commence at 7:30PM ET.

• Who: Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty
• Date: Friday, July 25, 2025
• Time: 7:30PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Barclays Center

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Friday's Mercury vs. Liberty matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Mercury vs. Liberty picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Liberty, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat the Mercury on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mercury vs. Liberty insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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