Mercury vs. Sparks prediction: Phoenix favored to win Tuesday's WNBA matchup [8/26/2025]

The Los Angeles Sparks will face the Phoenix Mercury in WNBA action at Crypto.com Arena on Tuesday, beginning at 10:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Mercury as the most likely winner of today's game.

The Sparks, powered by Kelsey Plum, Dearica Hamby and Rickea Jackson, will face off against the Mercury, who feature Kahleah Copper, Satou Sabally and Alyssa Thomas.

For further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Mercury vs. Sparks predictions page.

Sparks vs. Mercury prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's WNBA game between the Mercury and Sparks 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Mercury a 64% chance of defeating the Sparks.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Mercury and Sparks each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 177.5 points has a 61% chance of staying under.

Mercury vs. Sparks odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Mercury	Sparks
Spread	-3.5 (-108)	+3.5 (-110)
Moneyline	-160	+140
Total	o177.5 (-110)	u177.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Mercury vs. Sparks picks and best bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Mercury vs. Sparks matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best WNBA picks and WNBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Mercury vs. Sparks player props

Betting on Phoenix vs. Los Angeles WNBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.

Kahleah Copper is expected to lead the Mercury in scoring, while Kelsey Plum is projected to be the top scorer for the Sparks.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every WNBA game this season.

Mercury vs. Sparks game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's action between the Sparks and Mercury at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to start at 10:00PM ET.

• Who: Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks
• Date: Tuesday, August 26, 2025
• Time: 10:00PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Crypto.com Arena

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Tuesday's Mercury vs. Sparks matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Mercury vs. Sparks picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Mercury, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks on Tuesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mercury vs. Sparks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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