Mercury vs. Aces prediction: Las Vegas favored to win Thursday's WNBA game [8/21/2025]

The Las Vegas Aces will square off with the Phoenix Mercury in WNBA action at Michelob ULTRA Arena on Thursday, starting at 10:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Aces as the most likely winner of today's game.

The Aces, who have the likes of A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young and Jewell Loyd, will face off against the Mercury, featuring Kahleah Copper, Satou Sabally and Alyssa Thomas.

For expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Mercury vs. Aces predictions page.

Aces vs. Mercury prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's WNBA matchup between the Mercury and Aces 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Aces a 52% chance of defeating the Mercury.

According to our model, the Mercury (+1.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 171.5-point over/under has a 55% chance of staying under.

Mercury vs. Aces odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Mercury	Aces
Spread	+1.5 (-105)	-1.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+105	-114
Total	o171.5 (-108)	u171.5 (-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Mercury vs. Aces picks and best bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Mercury vs. Aces matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best WNBA picks and WNBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Mercury vs. Aces player props

WNBA player props are an exciting way to wager on Thursday's Phoenix vs. Las Vegas matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Michelob ULTRA Arena.

Kahleah Copper is expected to lead the Mercury with 19 points, 4 rebounds and 2 assists, while A'ja Wilson is projected to have 24 points, 12 rebounds and 3 assists for the Aces.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every WNBA game this season.

Mercury vs. Aces game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's game between the Aces and Mercury at Michelob ULTRA Arena is scheduled to commence at 10:00PM ET.

• Who: Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aces
• Date: Thursday, August 21, 2025
• Time: 10:00PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Thursday's Mercury vs. Aces matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Mercury vs. Aces picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Aces, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Mercury on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mercury vs. Aces insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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