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Mercury vs. Fever Prediction: Phoenix Predicted to Win Wednesday's WNBA Matchup [7/30/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Our expert prediction for Wednesday's Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever matchup.
The Indiana Fever will take on the Phoenix Mercury in WNBA action at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Wednesday, starting at 7:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Mercury as the most likely winner of today's game. "Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Mercury-Fever game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate the Mercury's chance of winning at 73%, with the Fever at 27%."
The Fever, who have the likes of Kelsey Mitchell, Aliyah Boston and Natasha Howard, will face off against the Mercury, whose lineup includes Kahleah Copper, Satou Sabally and Alyssa Thomas.
Fever superstar Cailtin Clark will miss the game though, with the MVP chance set to be on the sidelines for this one.
For expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Mercury vs. Fever predictions page.
Fever vs. Mercury Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's WNBA game between the Mercury and Fever 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Mercury a 73% chance of defeating the Fever.
According to our model, the Mercury (-3.5) have a 63% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 167.5 points has a 61% chance of staying under.
Mercury vs. Fever Odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mercury | Fever |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -3.5 (-105) | +3.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | -160 | +140 |
| Total | o167.5 (-110) | u167.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.
Mercury vs. Fever Picks and Best Bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Mercury vs. Fever matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best WNBA picks and WNBA best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Mercury vs. Fever Player Props
Betting on Mercury vs. Fever WNBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Kahleah Copper is expected to lead the Mercury in scoring, while Kelsey Mitchell is projected to be the top scorer for the Fever.
Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every WNBA game this season.
Mercury vs. Fever Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Wednesday's game between the Fever and Mercury at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Fever
- Date: Wednesday, July 30, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Wednesday's Mercury vs. Fever matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Mercury vs. Fever picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Mercury, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat the Fever on Wednesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mercury vs. Fever insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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