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Mercury vs. Wings prediction: Paige Bueckers projected to score 17 points in Thursday's WNBA game [9/11/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings predictions for WNBA Thursday.
WNBA action continues on Thursday at 8:00PM ET as the Phoenix Mercury square off with the Dallas Wings at College Park Center.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Mercury as the most likely winner of today's game.
The Wings, with star players such as Paige Bueckers, Maddy Siegrist and Amy Okonkwo, are set to take on the Mercury, who feature Satou Sabally, Kahleah Copper and Alyssa Thomas.
Bueckers, the Wings' No. 1 pick in the 2025 WNBA draft, is expected to shine with a projected 17 points and 1 three.
For expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Mercury vs. Wings predictions page.
Wings vs. Mercury prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's WNBA matchup between the Mercury and Wings 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Mercury a 75% chance of defeating the Wings.
According to our model, the Mercury (-5.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 168.5-point over/under has a 57% chance of staying under.
Mercury vs. Wings odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mercury | Wings |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -5.5 (-110) | +5.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -225 | +195 |
| Total | o168.5 (-110) | u168.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Mercury vs. Wings picks and best bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Mercury vs. Wings matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best WNBA picks and WNBA best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Mercury vs. Wings player props
WNBA player props are an exciting way to wager on the Phoenix vs. Dallas game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at College Park Center.
Satou Sabally is expected to lead the Mercury with 16 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists, while Paige Bueckers is projected to have 17 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists for the Wings.
Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every WNBA game this season.
Mercury vs. Wings game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's matchup between the Wings and Mercury at College Park Center is scheduled to begin at 8:00PM ET.
- Who: Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings
- Date: Thursday, September 11, 2025
- Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: College Park Center
Dimers' in-depth preview of Thursday's Mercury vs. Wings matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Mercury vs. Wings picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
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Conclusion
We predict the Mercury, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat the Wings on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mercury vs. Wings insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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