Mercury vs. Sun prediction: Why Phoenix is favored to win Saturday's WNBA matchup [9/6/2025]

The Connecticut Sun and Phoenix Mercury are scheduled to meet in the WNBA at Mohegan Sun Arena on Saturday, with tipoff at 1:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Mercury as the most likely winner of today's game.

The Sun, with the likes of Tina Charles, Marina Mabrey and Leila Lacan, are set to take on the Mercury, who feature Kahleah Copper, Satou Sabally and Alyssa Thomas.

For a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Mercury vs. Sun predictions page.

Sun vs. Mercury prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's WNBA game between the Mercury and Sun 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Mercury an 87% chance of beating the Sun.

According to our model, the Mercury (-10.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 161 points has a 55% chance of going over.

Mercury vs. Sun odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Mercury	Sun
Spread	-10.5 (-105)	+10.5 (-112)
Moneyline	-600	+440
Total	o161 (-110)	u161 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Mercury vs. Sun picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Mercury vs. Sun matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best WNBA picks and WNBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Mercury vs. Sun player props

Betting on Mercury vs. Sun WNBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mohegan Sun Arena.

Kahleah Copper is expected to lead the Mercury in scoring, while Tina Charles is projected to be the top scorer for the Sun.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every WNBA game this season.

Mercury vs. Sun game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's matchup between the Sun and Mercury at Mohegan Sun Arena is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun
• Date: Saturday, September 6, 2025
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Saturday's Mercury vs. Sun matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Mercury vs. Sun picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Mercury, with an 87% win probability, will likely beat the Sun on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mercury vs. Sun insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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