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Phillies vs. Nationals prediction: Philadelphia predicted to win Thursday's MLB matchup [8/14/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Our expert prediction for Thursday's Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals matchup.
The Washington Nationals will square off with the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action at Nationals Park on Thursday, starting at 6:45PM ET.
Brad Lord (3-6, 3.28 ERA) will be on the bump for the Nationals, up against Jesús Luzardo (11-5, 4.20 ERA) for the Phillies.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Phillies as the most likely winner of today's game.
For expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Phillies vs. Nationals predictions page.
Nationals vs. Phillies prediction: Who will win, cover the run line?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's MLB game between the Phillies and Nationals 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Phillies a 61% chance of defeating the Nationals.
According to our model, the Nationals (+1.5) have a 51% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 51% chance of going over.
Phillies vs. Nationals odds [8/14/2025]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Phillies | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (-115) | +1.5 (+106) |
| Moneyline | -194 | +165 |
| Total | o8.5 (-105) | u8.5 (-114) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Phillies vs. Nationals picks and best bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Phillies vs. Nationals matchup is on the total.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Calling Our Shot's free MLB picks
Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest predictions featured below.
Phillies vs. Nationals game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's MLB game between the Nationals and Phillies at Nationals Park is scheduled to commence at 6:45PM ET.
- Who: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals
- Date: Thursday, August 14, 2025
- Time: 6:45PM ET/3:45PM PT
- Venue: Nationals Park
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Thursday's Phillies vs. Nationals matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Phillies vs. Nationals picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Phillies, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Nationals on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Phillies vs. Nationals insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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