Phillies vs. Padres Prediction: Philadelphia Predicted to Win Friday's MLB Matchup [7/11/2025]

The San Diego Padres will square off with the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action at PETCO Park on Friday, beginning at 9:40PM ET.

The Padres will send Ryan Bergert (1-0, 2.67 ERA) to the mound, up against Ranger Suárez (7-2, 1.99 ERA) for the Phillies.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Phillies as the most likely winner of today's game.

For expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Phillies vs. Padres predictions page.

Padres vs. Phillies Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's MLB game between the Phillies and Padres 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Phillies a 57% chance of defeating the Padres.

According to our model, the Padres (+1.5) have a 56% chance of covering the run line, while the 8-run over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Phillies vs. Padres Odds [7/11/2025]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Phillies	Padres
Run Line	-1.5 (+100)	+1.5 (-118)
Moneyline	-162	+140
Total	o8 (-106)	u8 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Phillies vs. Padres Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Phillies vs. Padres matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot's Free ⚾️ Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the free picks featured below.

Phillies vs. Padres Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Friday's MLB matchup between the Padres and Phillies at PETCO Park is scheduled to begin at 9:40PM ET.

• Who: Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres
• Date: Friday, July 11, 2025
• Time: 9:40PM ET/6:40PM PT
• Venue: PETCO Park

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Friday's Phillies vs. Padres matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Phillies vs. Padres picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Phillies, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Padres on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Phillies vs. Padres insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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