Phillies vs. Brewers prediction: Why Milwaukee is favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [9/4/2025]

MLB action continues on Thursday at 4:10PM ET as the Philadelphia Phillies square off with the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field.

Freddy Peralta (16-5, 2.58 ERA) will start on the mound for the Brewers, pitting him against Ranger Suárez (10-6, 3.02 ERA) for the Phillies.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Brewers as the most likely winner of today's game.

For expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Phillies vs. Brewers predictions page.

Brewers vs. Phillies prediction: Who will win, cover the run line?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's MLB game between the Phillies and Brewers 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Brewers a 52% chance of defeating the Phillies.

According to our model, the Phillies (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 55% chance of going over.

Phillies vs. Brewers odds [9/4/2025]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Phillies	Brewers
Run Line	+1.5 (-200)	-1.5 (+164)
Moneyline	+102	-120
Total	o7.5 (-115)	u7.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Phillies vs. Brewers picks and best bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Phillies vs. Brewers matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot's free ⚾️ picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the free picks featured below.

Phillies vs. Brewers game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's MLB game between the Brewers and Phillies at American Family Field is scheduled to begin at 4:10PM ET.

• Who: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers
• Date: Thursday, September 4, 2025
• Time: 4:10PM ET/1:10PM PT
• Venue: American Family Field

Dimers.com's full preview of Thursday's Phillies vs. Brewers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Phillies vs. Brewers picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Brewers, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Phillies on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Phillies vs. Brewers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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