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Flyers vs. Lightning Prediction: Tampa Bay Predicted to Win Monday's NHL Matchup [3/17/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert prediction for Monday's Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning matchup.
NHL action continues on Monday at 7:00PM ET as the Philadelphia Flyers square off with the Tampa Bay Lightning at Amalie Arena.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Lightning as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has utilized the latest data to simulate Monday's Philadelphia-Tampa Bay game 10,000 times," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"Incorporating recent updates and thousands of additional inputs, our prediction shows the Lightning are likely to win, with a probability of 69%, compared to the Flyers' 31%."
For further insights into Monday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Flyers vs. Lightning predictions page.
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Flyers vs. Flyers Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's NHL game between the Flyers and Lightning 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Lightning a 69% chance of defeating the Flyers.
According to our model, the Flyers (+1.5) have a 53% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 55% chance of going over.
Flyers vs. Lightning Odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Flyers | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (+100) | -1.5 (-112) |
| Moneyline | +260 | -310 |
| Total | o5.5 (-118) | u5.5 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Flyers vs. Lightning Picks and Best Bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Flyers vs. Lightning matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NHL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Flyers vs. Lightning Player Props
Who will score the first goal in Flyers vs. Lightning?
According to our model, Tampa Bay's Jake Guentzel is most likely to score the first goal in Flyers vs. Lightning.
Our projections give Guentzel an 8.5% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star is a 41.9% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Philadelphia Flyers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Owen Tippett | 6.0% |
| Travis Konecny | 5.8% |
| Matvei Michkov | 5.8% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jake Guentzel | 8.5% |
| Brayden Point | 8.2% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 7.0% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Philadelphia Flyers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Owen Tippett | 32.4% |
| Travis Konecny | 31.1% |
| Matvei Michkov | 30.0% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jake Guentzel | 41.9% |
| Brayden Point | 41.3% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 36.1% |
Flyers vs. Lightning Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Monday's action between the Lightning and Flyers at Amalie Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Philadelphia Flyers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Monday, March 17, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Amalie Arena
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Monday's Flyers vs. Lightning matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Philadelphia vs. Tampa Bay picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Lightning, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat the Flyers on Monday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Flyers vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NHL
Keep up with the latest NHL betting news, NHL best bets and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the latest projections for the Stanley Cup title.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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