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Penguins vs. Lightning Best Bet For NHL on Thursday, March 2, 2023
Updated: | First published:
Written by Tone's Takes
Our NHL best bets from the Thursday, March 2, 2023 slate features the game between the Pittsburgh Penguins and the Tampa Bay Lightning. Not only do we give you picks from one of the best hockey handicappers out there, but we also provide the results from our predictive analytics model, known as DimersBOT, which runs over 10,000 simulations of every major pro and college sport being played on Thursday, March 2 to identify the bets worth placing, and where we may have identified an edge against the sportsbooks' odds. We assess our probabilities against the money line odds, the puck line and the total, otherwise known as the Over/Under, and then tell you where the best odds and lines are available, allowing you to bet like a sharp and maximize your profits.
Today's NHL best bets and odds for Penguins vs. Lightning are proudly brought to you by BetMGM Sportsbook. Click here to get in on it.
Before Tone shares his wisdom, check out our below predictions from DimersBOT, our predictive analytics model. It has run 10,000 simulations for each game on the March 2, 2023 slate to give you the most accurate look at what you'll be betting on at Amalie Arena. These probabilities will continue to update right up until puck drop, so keep an eye on them and see if you can get yourself some value.
Penguins vs. Lightning Predictions
- 59% chance the Lightning win on the money line
- 62% chance the Penguins cover the +1.5 puck line
- 52% chance Penguins-Lightning stays Under 6.5 total goals
For the most up to date NHL betting picks today, check out our interactive hockey predictions for Penguins vs. Lightning and every other game being played today in the Bet Hub. It's constantly updating based on hundreds of different data points.
Penguins vs. Lightning Best Bets
Thursday, March 2, 2023 - 7:00PM ET
PICK: Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning Over 6.5 (-114)
The Pittsburgh Penguins and the Tampa Bay Lightning do battle for the second time this week this time in Tampa Bay.
The Penguins hold two blowout wins against the Bolts this season, both in Pittsburgh. The Pens took a 6-2 decision in early October and most recently, a 7-3 drubbing on Sunday afternoon.
One would think that Tampa Bay should be plenty fired up to play this game, especially after Tuesday’s lackluster 4-1 home loss to the rival Florida Panthers. I don’t trust Tampa’s defense right now as they are allowing a multitude of shots.
Over the last three games they have allowed 121 shots on goal, resulting in 11 goals against. At home this season, Tampa Bay averages 4.1 goals per game, which leads the league, and they are allowing 2.6 goals per game.
On the road this season, Pittsburgh averages three goals per game and they are allowing 3.1 goals per game. Three of the last five meetings have gone over a total of 6.5, with the other two games landing on six goals.
I think we will see a spirited game tonight where both teams fill the net, so bet Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning Over 6.5 (-114) at BetMGM
MORE: Dimers' full betting preview for Penguins vs. Lightning
Written by
Tone's Takes Tone is a NHL and MLB expert who regularly posts profitable seasons. A Philadelphia native, Tone enjoys watching his tickets cash while smoking cigars next to his fire pit. Feared by the sportsbooks, Tone is the ultimate bettors buddy.
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