Patriots vs. Dolphins Week 1 Prediction and Odds - Sep 11, 2022

The Miami Dolphins square off with the New England Patriots in NFL Week 1 action at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' free betting picks for Patriots vs. Dolphins, plus our score prediction, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are featured below.

This New England vs. Miami betting analysis is presented by FanDuel Sportsbook, which has an awesome Bet $5, Get $150 offer for new customers.

Who will win Patriots vs. Dolphins?

Using cutting-edge machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Patriots-Dolphins NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' popular predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Dolphins a 60% chance of getting the W against the Patriots in Week 1 of the NFL season.

More: Patriots vs. Dolphins Simulated 10,000 Times

Patriots vs. Dolphins Odds

• Spread: Dolphins -3.5 (+104), Patriots +3.5 (-115)
• Moneyline: Dolphins -160, Patriots +145
• Total: Over/Under 46.5 (-105/-107)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Dolphins are -3.5 favorites against the Patriots, with +104 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Patriots (+3.5) to cover the spread, BetMGM has the best odds currently on offer at -115.

PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Dolphins at -160, which means you can risk $160 to win $100, for a total payout of $260, if they get the W.

Meanwhile, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Patriots at +145, where you can bet $100 to profit $145, earning a total payout of $245, if they win.

The Over/Under is set at 46.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, while PointsBet currently has the best odds for the Under at -107.

As always, check out all of the online sportsbooks that are available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Patriots (+3.5) are a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 46.5-point Over/Under is a 53% chance of going Under.

More: Free Online Bet Tracker

Best Bets for Patriots vs. Dolphins

• Spread: Patriots +3.5 @ -115 via BetMGM (56% probability)
• Moneyline: Patriots @ +145 via DraftKings Sportsbook
• Total: Under 46.5 @ -107 via PointsBet (53% probability)

Dimers' best bets are based on complex modeling and wagering intelligence to help you make better investments with the legal sportsbooks in America.

While the Dolphins are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Patriots moneyline is the best option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Dimers.com is crucial to being a profitable bettor in the long run.

Patriots vs. Dolphins Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for New England vs. Miami at Hard Rock Stadium in Week 1 has the Dolphins winning 24-21.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more.

Dimers has full coverage of this week's Patriots-Dolphins matchup in Week 1, including pregame predictions, top betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Patriots vs. Dolphins Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in Patriots vs. Dolphins? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Patriots and Dolphins, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Miami's Tyreek Hill is most likely to score the first TD in Patriots vs. Dolphins.

DimersBOT gives Hill a 10.0% chance of scoring the first TD at Hard Rock Stadium, while the Dolphins WR is a 43.2% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

New England Patriots

• Damien Harris: 8.6% probability
• Rhamondre Stevenson: 6.9% probability
• DeVante Parker: 6.3% probability
• Hunter Henry: 5.8% probability
• Jakobi Meyers: 4.6% probability

Miami Dolphins

• Tyreek Hill: 10.0% probability
• Chase Edmonds: 9.0% probability
• Jaylen Waddle: 8.7% probability
• Raheem Mostert: 7.7% probability
• Cedrick Wilson: 4.9% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

New England Patriots

• Damien Harris: 38.1% probability
• Rhamondre Stevenson: 31.2% probability
• DeVante Parker: 29.0% probability
• Hunter Henry: 27.8% probability
• Jakobi Meyers: 21.9% probability

Miami Dolphins

• Tyreek Hill: 43.2% probability
• Chase Edmonds: 38.6% probability
• Jaylen Waddle: 38.4% probability
• Raheem Mostert: 34.2% probability
• Mike Gesicki: 23.5% probability

Patriots-Dolphins Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Mac Jones is projected for 257 passing yards, while the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is expected to throw for a whopping 261 yards.

Patriots Starting QB

• Mac Jones: 257 projected yards

Dolphins Starting QB

• Tua Tagovailoa: 261 projected yards

Patriots Rushing

• Damien Harris: 54 projected yards
• Rhamondre Stevenson: 40 projected yards
• Mac Jones: 12 projected yards

Dolphins Rushing

• Chase Edmonds: 52 projected yards
• Raheem Mostert: 48 projected yards
• Tua Tagovailoa: 12 projected yards

Patriots Receiving

• DeVante Parker: 56 projected yards
• Jakobi Meyers: 50 projected yards
• Hunter Henry: 37 projected yards
• Nelson Agholor: 33 projected yards
• Kendrick Bourne: 29 projected yards

Dolphins Receiving

• Tyreek Hill: 66 projected yards
• Jaylen Waddle: 58 projected yards
• Cedrick Wilson: 43 projected yards
• Mike Gesicki: 36 projected yards
• Chase Edmonds: 25 projected yards

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates regularly, so keep an eye on this page for the latest betting insights before Patriots vs. Dolphins on Sunday September 11, 2022.

Patriots vs. Dolphins 2022

The NFL Week 1 matchup between the Dolphins and Patriots at Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins
• Date: Sunday September 11, 2022
• Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
• Venue: Hard Rock Stadium

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