Packers vs. Commanders Week 7 Prediction and Odds - Oct 23, 2022

The Washington Commanders take on the Green Bay Packers in NFL Week 7 action at FedExField on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' free betting picks for Packers vs. Commanders, plus game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are featured in this article.

Who will win Packers vs. Commanders?

Using state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Packers-Commanders NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Packers a 61% chance of winning against the Commanders in Week 7 of the NFL season.

More: Packers vs. Commanders Simulated 10,000 Times

Packers vs. Commanders Current Odds

• Spread: Commanders +4.5 (-110), Packers -4.5 (-104)
• Moneyline: Commanders +180, Packers -190
• Total: Over/Under 41.5 (-107/-107)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Commanders are +4.5 underdogs versus the Packers, with -110 at BetMGM the best odds currently available.

For the favored Packers (-4.5) to cover the spread, FanDuel Sportsbook has the best odds currently on the market at -104.

BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Commanders at +180, which means you can bet $100 to profit $180, earning a total payout of $280, if they win.

Meanwhile, PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Packers at -190, where you can risk $190 to win $100, for a total payout of $290, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 41.5 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -107, as well as the best odds for the Under at -107.

As always, make sure you check all the online sportsbooks available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Commanders (+4.5) are a 61% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 41.5 points is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

More: Track Your Bets via Dimers' Bet Center

Best Bets for Packers vs. Commanders

• Spread: Commanders +4.5 @ -110 via BetMGM (61% probability) 🔥
• Moneyline: Commanders @ +180 via BetMGM (3.6% edge)
• Total: Under 41.5 @ -107 via PointsBet (50% probability)

Every time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best free picks of the day across all major pro and college sports.

Our best bets are based on world-class simulations and betting expertise to help you make more informed decisions with your state's legal sportsbooks.

While the Packers are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Commanders moneyline is the best option because of the 3.6% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Dimers is crucial to being a profitable bettor in the long run.

Packers vs. Commanders Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Green Bay vs. Washington at FedExField in Week 7 has the Packers winning 22-19.

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Packers-Commanders matchup in Week 7, including pregame predictions, free picks, and live updates.

Packers vs. Commanders Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in Packers vs. Commanders? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Packers and Commanders, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Green Bay's Aaron Jones is most likely to score the first TD in Packers vs. Commanders.

DimersBOT gives Jones a 13.6% chance of getting in for six first at FedExField, while the Packers RB is a 48.2% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Green Bay Packers

• Aaron Jones: 13.6% probability
• Allen Lazard: 9.4% probability
• AJ Dillon: 9.1% probability
• Romeo Doubs: 8.8% probability
• Robert Tonyan: 7.3% probability

Washington Commanders

• Brian Robinson: 8.3% probability
• Curtis Samuel: 6.8% probability
• Terry McLaurin: 6.6% probability
• Antonio Gibson: 5.7% probability
• Cam Sims: 4.9% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Green Bay Packers

• Aaron Jones: 48.2% probability
• Allen Lazard: 36.9% probability
• AJ Dillon: 35.3% probability
• Romeo Doubs: 34.7% probability
• Robert Tonyan: 31.2% probability

Washington Commanders

• Brian Robinson: 33.9% probability
• Curtis Samuel: 28.3% probability
• Terry McLaurin: 27.7% probability
• Antonio Gibson: 24.2% probability
• Cam Sims: 21.6% probability

Packers-Commanders Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Packers' Aaron Rodgers is projected to have a big game with 262 passing yards, while the Commanders' Taylor Heinicke is expected to throw for 218 yards.

Packers Starting QB

• Aaron Rodgers: 262 projected yards

Commanders Starting QB

• Taylor Heinicke: 218 projected yards

Packers Rushing

• Aaron Jones: 59 projected yards
• AJ Dillon: 42 projected yards
• Aaron Rodgers: 8 projected yards

Commanders Rushing

• Brian Robinson: 61 projected yards
• Taylor Heinicke: 26 projected yards
• Antonio Gibson: 23 projected yards

Packers Receiving

• Sammy Watkins: 82 projected yards
• Romeo Doubs: 51 projected yards
• Allen Lazard: 44 projected yards
• Robert Tonyan: 38 projected yards
• Aaron Jones: 26 projected yards

Commanders Receiving

• Terry McLaurin: 54 projected yards
• Curtis Samuel: 47 projected yards
• Cam Sims: 30 projected yards
• J.D. McKissic: 22 projected yards
• John Bates: 20 projected yards

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates often, so check this article for any changes to our betting insights ahead of Packers vs. Commanders on Sunday October 23, 2022.

Packers vs. Commanders 2022

The NFL Week 7 game between the Commanders and Packers at FedExField is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Green Bay Packers vs. Washington Commanders
• Date: Sunday October 23, 2022
• Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
• Venue: FedExField

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What NFL games are on today?

Now you've got the 411 on Packers vs. Commanders, get the latest betting predictions for all upcoming NFL games in Dimers' NFL Bet Hub. There you can find probabilities and odds, as well as our best bets for each and every NFL matchup.

Want a pick for the Spread? You got it. How about the Over/Under? Yup, got that too. The Moneyline? Yes sir. And these picks are good, I mean REALLY good. Take a look now!