Packers vs. Bears Week 1 Prediction and Odds - September 10, 2023

The Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers will meet in Week 1 of the NFL season at Soldier Field on Sunday, with kickoff at 4:25PM ET.

Dimers' free betting picks for Packers vs. Bears, as well as game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are detailed in this article.

Today's Green Bay vs. Chicago betting analysis is brought to you by Bet365, which has a Bet $1, Get $365 in Bonus Bets promo for new users.

Who Will Win: Packers vs. Bears

Using state-of-the-art computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Packers-Bears NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' renowned predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Bears a 51% chance of getting the W against the Packers in Week 1 of the NFL season.

More: Betting Analysis for Packers vs. Bears

Packers vs. Bears Odds

• Spread: Bears -1.5 (-104), Packers +1.5 (-115)
• Moneyline: Bears -118, Packers +106
• Total: Over/Under 41 (-108/-112)

The Bears are currently -1.5 favorites against the Packers, with -104 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Packers (+1.5) to cover the spread, BetMGM has the best odds currently on offer at -115.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Bears at -118, which means you can risk $118 to win $100, for a total payout of $218, if they get the W.

Meanwhile, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Packers at +106, where you can bet $100 to profit $106, earning a total payout of $206, if they win.

The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 41 with DraftKings Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -108, as well as the best odds for the Under at -112.

As always, make sure you check the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Packers (+1.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 41 points has a 55% chance of going Under.

More: Predictions for Every NFL Week 1 Matchup

Best Bets: Packers vs. Bears

• Spread: Packers +1.5 @ -115 via BetMGM (54% probability)
• Moneyline: Packers @ +106 via FanDuel Sportsbook (0.6% edge)
• Total: Under 41 @ -112 via DraftKings Sportsbook (55% probability)

Our best bets are based on complex modeling and betting intelligence to serve you the best possible plays every day of the year.

While the Bears are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Packers moneyline is the best option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Dimers is crucial to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.

Packers vs. Bears Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted score for Green Bay vs. Chicago at Soldier Field in Week 1 is Packers 20-20 Bears.

Click or tap on See Matchup to find out more.

Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Packers-Bears game in Week 1, including pregame predictions, free picks, and live win probabilities.

Packers vs. Bears Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in Packers vs. Bears? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Packers and Bears, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Chicago's Justin Fields is most likely to score the first TD in Packers vs. Bears.

DimersBOT gives Fields a 10.7% chance of scoring the first TD at Soldier Field, while the Bears QB is a 41.7% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities, which provide a great avenue for you to use this DraftKings Sportsbook offer, which unlocks $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet on any of the below players.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Green Bay Packers

• Aaron Jones: 10.2% probability
• AJ Dillon: 7.9% probability
• Jordan Love: 6.9% probability
• Jayden Reed: 5.9% probability
• Romeo Doubs: 5.4% probability

Chicago Bears

• Justin Fields: 10.7% probability
• Khalil Herbert: 7.9% probability
• DJ Moore: 7.6% probability
• D'Onta Foreman: 5.3% probability
• Darnell Mooney: 4.5% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Green Bay Packers

• Aaron Jones: 40.9% probability
• AJ Dillon: 32.0% probability
• Jordan Love: 28.5% probability
• Jayden Reed: 24.5% probability
• Romeo Doubs: 23.2% probability

Chicago Bears

• Justin Fields: 41.7% probability
• Khalil Herbert: 31.8% probability
• DJ Moore: 31.3% probability
• D'Onta Foreman: 21.3% probability
• Darnell Mooney: 19.4% probability

Packers-Bears Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Packers' Jordan Love is projected for 191 passing yards, while the Bears' Justin Fields is expected to throw for 203 yards.

Packers Starting QB

• Jordan Love: 191 projected yards

Bears Starting QB

• Justin Fields: 203 projected yards

Packers Rushing

• Aaron Jones: 77 projected yards
• AJ Dillon: 40 projected yards
• Jordan Love: 21 projected yards

Bears Rushing

• Khalil Herbert: 64 projected yards
• Justin Fields: 63 projected yards
• D'Onta Foreman: 38 projected yards

Packers Receiving

• Jayden Reed: 44 projected yards
• Romeo Doubs: 37 projected yards
• Luke Musgrave: 30 projected yards
• Aaron Jones: 21 projected yards
• Dontayvion Wicks: 19 projected yards

Bears Receiving

• DJ Moore: 63 projected yards
• Darnell Mooney: 44 projected yards
• Cole Kmet: 35 projected yards
• Robert Tonyan: 19 projected yards
• Chase Claypool: 19 projected yards

Remember, DimersBOT updates regularly, so keep checking this article for any changes to our betting insights before Packers vs. Bears on Sunday September 10, 2023.

Packers vs. Bears 2023

The NFL Week 1 action between the Bears and Packers at Soldier Field is scheduled to start at 4:25PM ET.

• Who: Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears
• Date: Sunday September 10, 2023
• Time: 4:25PM ET / 1:25PM PT
• Venue: Soldier Field

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Make Informed Sports Betting Decisions Today

Dimers' picks are made thanks to 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While our Packers vs. Bears picks can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you only bet what you can afford to lose and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Want More NFL Predictions Like This?

So, you liked our Packers vs. Bears betting analysis? Awesome. Did you know our NFL Betting News page has a comprehensive betting preview for every NFL matchup the second the sportsbooks put out their odds?

That's right, our predictive analytics model then compares those odds (aka Vegas odds) against its own probabilities to find value in the markets, which allows us to create the most accurate NFL betting previews and get the jump on the public and the sportsbooks.

In addition to our leading NFL predictions, Dimers also offers the best NFL prop bets today, projecting passing yards, touchdowns, and more against the best odds available every single day of the NFL season.