Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Pablo Llamas Ruiz prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2025

Pablo Carreno Busta will take on Pablo Llamas Ruiz in the first round of the US Open Men's Singles 2025 on Sunday.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Pablo Carreno Busta as the most likely winner of the match.

"Using the most recent data, we ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Carreno Busta-Llamas Ruiz match," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows Pablo Carreno Busta with a win probability of 66%, while Pablo Llamas Ruiz has 34%."

For expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Carreno Busta vs. Llamas Ruiz predictions page.

Carreno Busta vs. Llamas Ruiz prediction: Who will win and advance to the Second Round?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Carreno Busta-Llamas Ruiz men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Carreno Busta a 66% chance of winning against Llamas Ruiz in the US Open 2025.

Additionally, Carreno Busta has a 61% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Carreno Busta (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 38.5 games has a 55% chance of hitting, according to our model.

For more insights into the growing popularity of betting on the sport, check out our comprehensive analysis of tennis' rise in the U.S. sports betting market.

Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Pablo Llamas Ruiz odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Carreno Busta	Llamas Ruiz
Moneyline	-190	+158
First Set	-152	+120
Game Spread	+3.5 (-110)	-3.5 (-122)
Total Games	o38.5 (-110)	u38.5 (-120)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Carreno Busta vs. Llamas Ruiz picks and best bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Carreno Busta vs. Llamas Ruiz match is on the first set.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every tournament throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Carreno Busta vs. Llamas Ruiz updates and essential details

The US Open 2025 match between Pablo Carreno Busta and Pablo Llamas Ruiz is scheduled to commence on Sunday at 4:05PM ET.

• Who: Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Pablo Llamas Ruiz
• Date: Sunday, August 24, 2025
• Approx. Time: 4:05PM ET/1:05PM PT
• Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2025
• Round: First round

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Carreno Busta vs. Llamas Ruiz match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Pablo Llamas Ruiz picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key tennis betting guides and insights

• Learn how to bet on tennis and understand how tennis odds work
• Explore where sports odds come from and how they’re applied to tennis matches
• Stay informed with guides on where online sports betting is currently legal and which states could legalize next
• Improve your chances with proven sports betting strategies that apply to tennis and more

Conclusion

We predict Pablo Carreno Busta, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat Pablo Llamas Ruiz at the US Open 2025.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Carreno Busta vs. Llamas Ruiz insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on Tennis

Stay up-to-date with the latest tennis betting news and parlay picks throughout the year. Plus, Dimers' ATP and WTA world rankings showcase our in-house approach to accurately ranking every men's and women's player in the world.