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Ottawa Senators vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Odds, NHL Picks [2/19/2024]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Data
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The Tampa Bay Lightning and Ottawa Senators will lock horns in the NHL at Amalie Arena on Monday, starting at 7:00PM ET.
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview for Monday's Senators vs. Lightning matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.
Senators vs. Lightning Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread
We have used trusted machine learning and data to simulate the result of Monday's NHL matchup between the Senators and Lightning 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NHL picks.
Our famous predictive analytics model gives the Lightning a 60% chance of defeating the Senators.
According to our model, the Senators (+1.5) have a 60% chance of covering the puck line, while the Over/Under total of 7 goals has a 55% chance of going under.
Senators vs. Lightning Odds
We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Senators | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-165) | -1.5 (+142) |
| Moneyline | +135 | -162 |
| Total | o7 (+115) | u7 (-140) |
- The Lightning are currently -1.5 favorites against the Senators, with +142 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
- For the underdog Senators (+1.5) to cover the puck line, BetMGM Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -165.
- FanDuel currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lightning at -162. That means you can risk $162 to win $100 for a total payout of $262 if they get the W.
- BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Senators at +135, where you can bet $100 to profit $135, earning a total payout of $235 if they win.
- The Over/Under for total goals scored is set at 7 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at +115, as well as the best odds for the Under at -140.
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Senators vs. Lightning Picks
Our predictions, matched with the best odds, reveal the top betting picks to make on this game, detailed in Dimers' best NHL bets, crafted from expert modeling and analysis:
| Bet Type | Our Pick | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Lightning -1.5 | +142 |
| Moneyline | Lightning | -162 |
| Total | Over 7 | +115 |
Even though the Senators are more likely to cover the puck line, our best bet of Lightning -1.5 is based on the chance of that happening, when compared to the best odds available.
Furthermore, despite the Under being more likely to hit on this occasion, Over 7 is our best bet on account of the better odds (+115) that are available from BetMGM.
Senators vs. Lightning Player Props
Who will score the first goal in Senators vs. Lightning?
According to our model, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is most likely to score the first goal in Senators vs. Lightning.
Our projections give Point an 8.6% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star is a 41.9% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Ottawa Senators
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brady Tkachuk | 5.3% |
| Claude Giroux | 5.2% |
| Vladimir Tarasenko | 5.2% |
| Tim Stutzle | 4.9% |
| Shane Pinto | 4.4% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 8.6% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 8.2% |
| Brandon Hagel | 7.0% |
| Steven Stamkos | 6.7% |
| Anthony Cirelli | 3.3% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Ottawa Senators
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brady Tkachuk | 28.4% |
| Tim Stutzle | 28.3% |
| Vladimir Tarasenko | 27.1% |
| Claude Giroux | 27.0% |
| Shane Pinto | 24.3% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 41.9% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 40.4% |
| Steven Stamkos | 35.6% |
| Brandon Hagel | 34.6% |
| Anthony Cirelli | 19.0% |
Senators vs. Lightning Game Information
Monday's matchup between the Lightning and Senators at Amalie Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Ottawa Senators vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Monday February 19, 2024
- Time: 7:00PM ET / 4:00PM PT
- Venue: Amalie Arena
Our full coverage of Senators vs. Lightning includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live updates.
Conclusion
This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate Senators vs. Lightning insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER. Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.
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Dimers Data Dimers Data delivers cold-blooded analysis straight from thousands of simulations run by predictive models built by our in-house team of data scientists and analysts. No hunches. No guesswork. Just pure, data-led insight serious bettors rely on to stay ahead.
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