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Senators vs. Lightning Prediction: Tampa Bay Predicted to Win Thursday's NHL Matchup [2/6/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert prediction for Thursday's Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning matchup.
The Tampa Bay Lightning and Ottawa Senators are scheduled to meet in the NHL at Amalie Arena on Thursday, with puck drop at 7:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Lightning as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Ottawa-Tampa Bay game 10,000 times," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Lightning with a win probability of 58% and the Senators with 42%."
For expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Senators vs. Lightning predictions page.
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Senators vs. Lightning Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NHL game between the Senators and Lightning 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Lightning a 58% chance of beating the Senators.
According to our model, the Senators (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 54% chance of going over.
Senators vs. Lightning Odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Senators | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-185) | -1.5 (+158) |
| Moneyline | +140 | -164 |
| Total | o5.5 (-120) | u5.5 (+105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Senators vs. Lightning Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Senators vs. Lightning matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NHL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Senators vs. Lightning Player Props
Who will score an anytime goal in Senators vs. Lightning?
According to our model, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is most likely to score the first goal in Senators vs. Lightning.
Our projections give Point a 9.0% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star is a 43.9% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Ottawa Senators
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brady Tkachuk | 8.0% |
| Tim Stutzle | 6.4% |
| Drake Batherson | 5.7% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 9.0% |
| Jake Guentzel | 8.6% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 8.2% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Ottawa Senators
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brady Tkachuk | 37.0% |
| Tim Stutzle | 33.5% |
| Drake Batherson | 28.3% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 43.9% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 41.8% |
| Jake Guentzel | 41.6% |
Senators vs. Lightning Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Thursday's action between the Lightning and Senators at Amalie Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Ottawa Senators vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Thursday, February 6, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Amalie Arena
Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Thursday's Senators vs. Lightning matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Ottawa vs. Tampa Bay picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Lightning, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Senators on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Senators vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NHL
Stay up-to-date with the latest NHL news, NHL best bets and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds offer the most accurate probabilities for the Stanley Cup title.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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