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Senators vs. Penguins Prediction: Pittsburgh Predicted to Win Saturday's NHL Matchup [1/11/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert prediction for Saturday's Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins matchup.
The Pittsburgh Penguins will square off with the Ottawa Senators, in what is expected to be a tight NHL game, at PPG Paints Arena on Saturday, commencing at 4:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Penguins as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Ottawa-Pittsburgh game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Penguins are more likely to win, while the Senators have a lower chance of victory."
For expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Senators vs. Penguins predictions page.
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Senators vs. Penguins Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Saturday's matchup between the Penguins and Senators at PPG Paints Arena is scheduled to commence at 4:00PM ET.
- Who: Ottawa Senators vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
- Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025
- Time: 4:00PM ET/1:00PM PT
- Venue: PPG Paints Arena
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Saturday's Senators vs. Penguins matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Ottawa vs. Pittsburgh picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Senators vs. Penguins Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NHL game between the Senators and Penguins 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Penguins a 51% chance of defeating the Senators.
According to our model, the Penguins (+1.5) have a 70% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 55% chance of going over.
Senators vs. Penguins Odds
We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Senators | Penguins |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+215) | +1.5 (-250) |
| Moneyline | -115 | -102 |
| Total | o5.5 (-120) | u5.5 (+108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Senators vs. Penguins Picks
Our model's strongest edge in today's Senators vs. Penguins matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NHL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Senators vs. Penguins Player Props
Who will score the first goal in Senators vs. Penguins?
According to our model, Pittsburgh's Bryan Rust is most likely to score the first goal in Senators vs. Penguins.
Our projections give Rust a 7.8% chance of scoring the first goal at PPG Paints Arena, while the Penguins star is a 38.3% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Ottawa Senators
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brady Tkachuk | 7.2% |
| Josh Norris | 6.1% |
| Drake Batherson | 5.4% |
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bryan Rust | 7.8% |
| Rickard Rakell | 7.0% |
| Sidney Crosby | 6.4% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Ottawa Senators
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brady Tkachuk | 37.6% |
| Josh Norris | 32.8% |
| Tim Stutzle | 28.3% |
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bryan Rust | 38.3% |
| Sidney Crosby | 35.9% |
| Rickard Rakell | 34.8% |
Conclusion
We predict the Penguins, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Senators on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Senators vs. Penguins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NHL
Keep up with the latest NHL news, NHL best bets and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the latest probabilities for the Stanley Cup title.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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