Thunder vs. Pacers Prediction: Oklahoma City Predicted to Win Game 4 of NBA Finals [2025]

The Indiana Pacers will square off with the favored Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 4 of the 2025 NBA Finals at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Friday, commencing at 8:30PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of Game 4.

"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's Oklahoma City-Indiana game 10,000 times," said Damien Souness from Dimers.

"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict the Thunder's chance of winning is 71%, while the Pacers' is 29%."

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pacers lineup will feature stars like Pascal Siakam, Tyrese Haliburton and Myles Turner, while the Thunder will be led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren.

For a closer look at Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Thunder vs. Pacers predictions page.

Pacers vs. Thunder Prediction: Who Will Win Game 4?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's NBA FInals matchup between the Thunder and Pacers 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Thunder a 71% chance of defeating the Pacers in Game 4 of the Finals. Our predicted final score in Game 4 of the 2025 NBA Finals has the Thunder winning 116-110.

According to our model, the Thunder (-6.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 227.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.

Thunder vs. Pacers Game 4 Odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Thunder	Pacers
Spread	-6.5 (-102)	+6.5 (-118)
Moneyline	-235	+200
Total	o227.5 (-110)	u227.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Boost your NBA betting by exploring the latest NBA betting promos, sourced from top sportsbooks and DFS operators.

Thunder vs. Pacers Picks and Best Bets for Game 4

Our model's biggest edge in today's Thunder vs. Pacers matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NBA picks and NBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Thunder vs. Pacers Game 4 Player Props

NBA player props are a popular way to wager on Friday's Oklahoma City vs. Indiana game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to lead the Thunder in scoring, while Pascal Siakam is projected to be the top scorer for the Pacers.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.

Calling Our Shot's Best Bets Today

Calling Our Shot produces daily NBA betting content, including the predictions featured below.

Thunder vs. Pacers Game 4 Updates and Essential Details

Friday's Game 4 between the Pacers and Thunder in the NBA Finals is scheduled to start at 8:30PM ET.

• Who: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers
• Date: Friday, June 13, 2025
• Time: 8:30PM ET/5:30PM PT
• Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
• NBA Playoffs Bracket: Updated NBA Playoffs bracket and schedule

The winner of the 2025 NBA Finals between the Thunder and Pacers gets the Larry O'Brien Trophy. Game 4 of the best-of-seven series is at Indiana's Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Friday's Thunder vs. Pacers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Oklahoma City vs. Indiana picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Thunder, with a 71% win probability, will likely beat the Pacers in Game 4 of the 2025 Finals.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Thunder vs. Pacers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NBA

Stay up-to-date with the latest NBA betting news and NBA parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our NBA championship odds offer the most up-to-date probabilities for the NBA title.