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Thunder vs. Mavericks Prediction: Oklahoma City Predicted to Win Friday's NBA Matchup [1/17/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Friday's Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks matchup.

Oklahoma City Thunder-Dallas Mavericks Predictions and Game Preview.
American Airlines Center sets the stage for the NBA matchup between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Dallas Mavericks this Friday.

The Dallas Mavericks and Oklahoma City Thunder will meet in NBA action at American Airlines Center on Friday, starting at 8:30PM ET.

The Mavericks, with the likes of Kyrie Irving, Daniel Gafford and Klay Thompson, will face off against the Thunder, who feature Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins and Luguentz Dort.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's Oklahoma City-Dallas game 10,000 times," said Damien Souness from Dimers.

"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict the Thunder's chance of winning is 59%, while the Mavericks' is 41%."

For further insights into Friday's matchup, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Thunder vs. Mavericks predictions page.

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Thunder vs. Mavs Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Friday's game between the Mavericks and Thunder at American Airlines Center is scheduled to begin at 8:30PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Friday's Thunder vs. Mavericks matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Oklahoma City vs. Dallas picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Thunder vs. Mavericks Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NBA matchup between the Thunder and Mavericks 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Thunder a 59% chance of beating the Mavericks. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 111-109.

According to our model, the Mavericks (+2.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 220.5 points has a 53% chance of going over.

 

Thunder vs. Mavericks Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Thunder Mavericks
Spread -2.5 (-105) +2.5 (-110)
Moneyline -146 +126
Total o220.5 (-108) u220.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Thunder vs. Mavericks Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Thunder vs. Mavericks matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NBA picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Thunder vs. Mavericks Player Props

NBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on Friday's Thunder vs. Mavericks matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at American Airlines Center.

Jalen Williams is expected to lead the Thunder in scoring, while Kyrie Irving is projected to be the top scorer for the Mavericks.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.

Calling Our Shot's Free 🏀 Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily NBA betting content, including the predictions featured below.

Conclusion

We predict the Thunder, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Mavericks on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Thunder vs. Mavericks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NBA

Stay informed with the latest NBA betting news, NBA best bets and NBA parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our NBA championship odds provide the latest predictions for the NBA title.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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