NFL Week 3 First and Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions [2023]

The NFL is back for another big week, and our team of data experts has run 10K data-driven simulations of each Week 3 game in order to determine which players are most likely to score a touchdown and which are the best TD bets to make.

NFL first and anytime touchdown scorer props have become some of the more popular prop bets among football bettors. By using Dimers.com's Week 3 first touchdown scorer predictions and anytime touchdown scorer predictions, you can get an edge over other bettors.

Utilizing our trusted machine learning and data, Dimers.com has identified where to find the best value for Week 3.

This week's touchdown scorers are brought to you by Bet365, where new players can grab $365 in bonus bets just for betting $1 on any of the below players to score in Week 3.

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This week’s NFL slate features big names such as Justin Jefferson, Davante Adams and CeeDee Lamb, with each of these players projected to have a high probability of scoring a touchdown in their respective games in Week 3.

Here, we will show you the most likely NFL touchdown scorers for Week 3, as well as the touchdown scorer bets you should look into making for Week 3 of the 2023 NFL season.

MORE: Every NFL Week 3 Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions - NFL Week 3, 2023

After simulating the Week 3 NFL slate thousands of times, our model has discovered the most likely players to score a touchdown across all of this week’s matchups.

1. Justin Jefferson (Vikings): 56.0% probability
2. Davante Adams (Raiders): 53.0% probability
3. CeeDee Lamb (Cowboys): 52.9% probability
4. Tony Pollard (Cowboys): 52.5% probability
5. Tyreek Hill (Dolphins): 52.4% probability
6. Jalen Hurts (Eagles): 50.3% probability
7. Bijan Robinson (Falcons): 50.2% probability
8. Alexander Mattison (Vikings): 49.6% probability
9. Kenneth Walker (Seahawks): 48.7% probability
10. Derrick Henry (Titans): 48.1% probability

First Touchdown Predictions - NFL Week 3, 2023

As well as providing you with the players who are most likely to score an anytime touchdown, DimersBOT also has the 10 players most likely to score the first touchdown in their respective games across all of the Week 3 NFL action.

1. Tony Pollard (Cowboys): 14.8% probability
2. CeeDee Lamb (Cowboys): 14.5% probability
3. Davante Adams (Raiders): 14.1% probability
4. Jalen Hurts (Eagles): 13.1% probability
5. Derrick Henry (Titans): 13.1% probability
6. Kenneth Walker (Seahawks): 12.7% probability
7. Tyreek Hill (Dolphins): 12.5% probability
8. Bijan Robinson (Falcons): 12.1% probability
9. Justin Jefferson (Vikings): 11.9% probability
10. Ja'Marr Chase (Bengals): 11.8% probability

Keep in mind that these lists only show the players most likely to score an anytime or first touchdown in NFL Week 3, which does not necessarily mean that our model recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to look out for the best odds available, as well as checking out our recommended bets below.

NFL Touchdown Best Bets and Odds - Week 3, 2023

Josh Reynolds Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+290)

• Odds: +290 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 11.5%
• Probability: 37.1%
• Game: Falcons vs. Lions (1:00PM ET)
• Click here to place this bet with FanDuel Sportsbook

Our model has identified the best NFL touchdown bet for Week 3, which comes in the game between the Falcons and Lions. The bet is on Josh Reynolds from the Detroit Lions to score a touchdown at odds of +290 with FanDuel Sportsbook, where you can gain an an edge of 11.5%.

Rashid Shaheed Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+400)

• Odds: +400 via DraftKings Sportsbook
• Edge: 11.0%
• Probability: 31%
• Game: Saints vs. Packers (1:00PM ET)
• Click here to place this bet with DraftKings Sportsbook

The next best NFL touchdown bet for Week 3 comes in the Saints vs. Packers clash, where our model has found an edge of 11.0% on Rashid Shaheed from the New Orleans Saints at odds of +400 with DraftKings Sportsbook to score an anytime touchdown.

Treylon Burks Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+350)

• Odds: +350 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 8.2%
• Probability: 30.4%
• Game: Titans vs. Browns (1:00PM ET)
• Click here to place this bet with FanDuel Sportsbook

Our NFL model has found another +EV touchdown prop for this week's action, which is in the game between the Titans and Browns. This bet is on the Titans' Treylon Burks to score an anytime touchdown at odds of +350 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

With a probability of 30.4%, you can gain an edge of 8.2% on the sportsbooks with this play.

Kadarius Toney Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+300)

• Odds: +300 via PointsBet
• Edge: 7.9%
• Probability: 32.9%
• Game: Bears vs. Chiefs (4:25PM ET)
• Click here to place this bet with PointsBet

The next best NFL touchdown bet for Week 3 comes in the Bears vs. Chiefs game, where our model has found a juicy edge of 7.9% on Kadarius Toney from the Chiefs at odds of +300 with PointsBet to score anytime.

Mike Williams Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+180)

• Odds: +180 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 7.0%
• Probability: 42.7%
• Game: Chargers vs. Vikings (8:30PM ET)
• Click here to place this bet with FanDuel Sportsbook

The fifth bet that our NFL model has discovered an edge on for Week 3 is Mike Williams to score an anytime touchdown in the Chargers vs. Vikings game. After simulating the game 10K times, DimersBOT has identified a nice 7.0% edge for bettors who take the +180 odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: NFL Props for Week 3, 2023

NFL Week 3 Touchdown Round Robin Parlay

These picks were created by our powerful predictive analytics model, which looked at every single game, team, and player on the Week 3 slate to determine the best players to include in a round robin parlay.

• Josh Reynolds (DET): 11.5% edge, 37.1% probability, +290 odds
• Rashid Shaheed (NO): 11.0% edge, 31.0% probability, +400 odds
• Treylon Burks (TEN): 8.2% edge, 30.4% probability, +350 odds
• Kadarius Toney (KC): 7.9% edge, 32.9% probability, +300 odds
• Mike Williams (LAC): 7.0% edge, 42.7% probability, +180 odds

Playing all five of these offensive stars in an anytime TD parlay today would net odds of +98180, which means that a $5 bet could win you $4,914.

As always, though, we at Dimers suggest taking these picks in a round robin parlay, meaning you could still turn a profit even if only two or three of them cross the line in Week 3!

DimersBOT believes that these five guys are all have genuine chances to score and will give you an edge against the best odds. This makes them the ideal players to include in your betslips this week.

Speaking of $5 bets, you can unlock an incredible reward of $200 in bonus bets by placing a simple $5 wager on one of this week's NFL touchdown picks (including the parlay) at DraftKings. Click ➡️ here ⬅️ to get started!

What Is an Edge in Betting?

The edge at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NFL Touchdown Betting Picks - Week 3, 2023

All of Dimers' NFL first and anytime touchdown picks and predictions for Week 3 have been generated thanks to thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NFL predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use this week's NFL touchdown scorer picks for your personal gambling, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More on NFL

If you enjoyed our NFL touchdown scorer props, you're definitely going to want to take a look at Dimers' NFL prop picks for Week 3.

Here, we have predictions for passing, rushing and receiving yards, and more! Plus, with the ability to filter which of the NFL Week 3 matchups you want props for, there's no lack of options when it comes to parlays and same-game parlays for today's football action.