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NFL Week 16: Chargers vs. Colts Player Props & Predictions Monday December 26, 2022

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Written by Nick Slade
NFL Week 16: Chargers vs. Colts Player Props & Predictions Monday December 26, 2022

The best player props for the final game of NFL Week 16 between the Chargers and the Colts on Monday Night Football. Luckily for you, we've identified a number of different player props performances for you to bet on. Sink your teeth into everything from touchdown props at Lucas Oil Stadium, down to rushing yards props and receiving yards props, below.

Our predictive analytics model, known as DimersBOT, has run over 10,000 simulations of this game between the Chargers and the Colts where we have assessed Justin Herbert and the Chargers (-3.5) as 4-point winners. Based on our NFL Week 16 Chargers-Colts props predictions, it also looks as though the Chargers' Austin Ekeler is in for a big game, with the Los Angeles RB featuring heavily in our predictions. While we have also listed player props for Keenan Allen, Zack Moss, Michael Pittman, Mike Williams and Nick Foles, with more detail about what you can expect from them, outlined below.

 
 

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Chargers vs. Colts Props

Wondering where to look in TD props markets in this game between Chargers vs. Colts? Well, the latest data for this Monday Night Football matchup is in, so let's find ourselves a late Christmas gift in the form of some winning prop bets.

Listed below are the best touchdown scorer props as well as the best player props for both the Chargers and the Colts, as well as prop bets.

And you know what, we provide this player props information to you for FREE to help you select the best props for Monday's game between Los Angeles and Indianapolis.

RELATED: Player Prop Bets for every NFL game

Props: First Touchdown Scorer

According to the best AI predictive analytics model, Los Angeles' Austin Ekeler is the best first TD prop bet to place in Chargers vs. Colts.

The Dimers artificial intelligence machine gives Ekeler a 12.2% chance of cashing our first touchdown prop bet tickets at Lucas Oil Stadium.

The next best option is the Chargers' Keenan Allen an 9.9% chance of reaching the endzone and cashing Monday's first touchdown props.

Look for the 🔥 below, as that indicates a spot where the predictive analytics model has found value against the sportsbooks. To make things easy for you, we even list the best player props bets for Chargers-Colts, down below.

Top-10 First Touchdown scorer props:

  1. Austin Ekeler (Chargers): 12.7% probability
  2. Keenan Allen (Chargers): 9.9% probability
  3. Zack Moss (Colts): 8.4% probability
  4. Mike Williams (Chargers): 8.0% probability
  5. Michael Pittman (Colts): 6.6% probability
  6. Nick Foles (Colts): 6.2% probability
  7. Parris Campbell (Colts): 6.0% probability
  8. Gerald Everett (Chargers): 5.5% probability
  9. Deon Jackson (Colts): 5.0% probability
  10. Justin Herbert (Chargers): 4.3% probability

Props: Anytime Touchdown Scorers

Chargers RB Ekeler is also a 50.4% chance of cashing those anytime touchdown prop bet tickets if you're looking for something a little safer.

The next best anytime touchdown scorer prop option is once again Keenan Allen, who is a 42.4% chance to score a touchdown at anytime during this game between the Chargers and the Colts.

Top-10 Anytime Touchdown scorer props:

  1. Austin Ekeler (Chargers): 50.4% probability
  2. Keenan Allen (Chargers): 42.4% probability
  3. Zack Moss (Colts): 36.3% probability
  4. Mike Williams (Chargers): 35.5% probability
  5. Michael Pittman (Colts): 30.5% probability
  6. Nick Foles (Colts): 27.8% probability 🔥
  7. Parris Campbell (Colts): 27.3% probability
  8. Gerald Everett (Chargers): 25.2% probability
  9. Deon Jackson (Colts): 24.4% probability
  10. Justin Herbert (Chargers): 21.3% probability

For NFL prop bets from EVERY game being played this week, check out our NFL Prop Bets generator to find yourself today's best plays.

Player Props for Chargers Colts Monday Night Football

PICTURED: Austin Ekerler and Parris Campbell

Props: QB Passing Yards Predictions

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chargers' Justin Herbert is predicted to have a big game and throw for 293 passing yards, while the Colts' Nick Foles is expected to throw for 228 yards.

  • Justin Herbert (Chargers): 293 predicted yards 
  • Nick Foles (Colts): 228 predicted yards

Props: Rushing Yards Predictions

Not surprisingly, Austin Ekeler is expected to lead the way when it comes to rushing yards gained in Chargers vs. Colts, with 59. Ekeler is always a threat and our artificial intelligence analysis suggests this trend is likely to continue on Monday.

  • Austin Ekeler (Chargers): 59 predicted yards
  • Zack Moss (Colts): 46 predicted yards 🔥
  • Deon Jackson (Colts): 36 predicted yards
  • Joshua Kelley (Chargers): 22 predicted yards
  • Justin Herbert (Chargers): 13 predicted yards
  • Nick Foles (Colts): 8 predicted yards

Props: Receiving Yards Predictions

Colts WR Michael Pittman looks set for another a big game here against the Chargers. The Indianapolis star was easily the pick of the bunch when it came to our predictive analytics model identifying expected receiving yards numbers for this game, with 81. The next best performer is expected to be Keenan Allen with 64.

  • Michael Pittman (Colts): 81 predicted yards
  • Keenan Allen (Chargers): 64 predicted yards
  • Mike Williams (Chargers): 62 predicted yards
  • Austin Ekeler (Chargers): 45 predicted yards 🔥
  • Parris Campbell (Colts): 40 predicted yards
  • Gerald Everett (Chargers): 33 predicted yards
  • Joshua Palmer (Chargers): 32 predicted yards
  • Jelani Woods (Colts): 26 predicted yards
  • Alec Pierce (Colts): 26 predicted yards 🔥
  • Deon Jackson (Colts): 20 predicted yards

PARLAY: Dimers' Christmas Day NFL Best Bets Is Our Gift To You

Best Player Props To Bet

The best bets for Chargers vs. Colts below are spots identified by our AI predictive analytics model following 10,000 simulations of this game, before we match those results against the lines set by the sportsbooks. When our numbers are quite different to those displayed by the sportsbooks then that means we've identified a player props betting opportunity - usually at tempting odds, too.

Sometimes the sportsbooks will set the line for a particular player prop too high, in which case we'd bet his Under. Other times they may have undervalued a player's expected contribution, and set his line quite low allowing us to take the juicy odds on offer for his Over.

It's important to note, the suggested player prop bets for Chargers vs. Colts below are based on our algorithm finding an edge vs. the sportsbooks odds and lines, so using the sportsbook listed - where those factors are in our favor - is very important in order to maximize our potential to profit from player prop betting.

🔥 Bet: Alec Pierce Under 38.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Our player props predictive analytics model has the Colts man down for less than his line of 38.5 receiving yards (we have him getting just 26) on Monday for Chargers-Colts, so at odds of -115 we are betting his UNDER and getting an edge of 20.1% with PointsBet Sportsbook, where new customers can get 4x $200 risk-free bets to use on whatever they want, right here.

🔥 Bet: Austin Ekeler Over 32.5 Receiving Yards (-112)

Following over 10,000 different simulations of this Monday matchup between the Chargers and the Colts, our player props model has identified that the receiving yards line of 32.5 for Chargers RB Austin Ekeler is too low. We have Ekeler down for 45 receiving yards (see above), so betting his OVER (-112) with DraftKings Sportsbook is the play, giving us a big edge of 18.6% vs. the sportsbook. New DraftKings customers can score $150 in free bets from just a $5 wager here.

🔥 Bet: Zack Moss Under 59.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

The player props super computer has this time identified a rushing yards player prop bet in Colts man in Zack Moss. We have him down for 46 rushing yards against the Chargers on Monday at a probability of 70.7% and with a 17.2% edge. By betting this UNDER at PointsBet Sportsbook we get access to those 4x $200 risk-free bets, here.

🏈 Bet: Nick Foles To Score a Touchdown (+1200)

The Dimers player props AI machine has found some value here for Nick Foles to score a TD on Monday when his Colts host the Chargers. While the model has identified him as a 27.8% chance of reaching the endzone, the real value is the huge 20.1% edge we have vs. the sportsbooks' odds. We can bet this at Caesars Sportsbook where new customers can score a risk-free first bet up to $1250 by tapping here.

 
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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

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