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NFL Week 16 2021: Christmas Day Picks, Predictions and Odds
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Christmas Day football is back with two massive games for us bettors to get involved in, and these free picks are here to help make your day special.
As we always do, Dimers.com has simulated every NFL 2021 Week 16 game to determine where the value lies for football bettors across the United States.
With NFL betting picks, probabilities, odds and predicted scores featured each and every week at Dimers, check out our top plays for Saturday's NFL games.
MORE: NFL 2021 Week 16 most likely TD scorers
Saturday's NFL best bets and odds are proudly brought to you by Caesars Sportsbook who will give you $100 if the team you place a $10 Moneyline bet on scores a single point.
Basically, you just place a $10 bet on the Moneyline and if there's ONE POINT scored by your team, you get $100! This is a NO BRAINER folks.
Free NFL Picks for Christmas Day, 2021
Browns vs. Packers, 4:30pm (EST)
BEST BET: Packers -7.5 (-105)
BONUS PICK: Packers ML with Caesars (+1000)
Green Bay is the best team in the NFL right now. Cleveland... is not.
The Packers remain the best team to bet at the spread this season (10-3) and now get a game at home against a depleted Browns side coming off of a five-day break.
After simulating the matchup 10,000 times, our model has the Packers at a 56% probability of covering, making them the most likely team to cover the spread across all of the games this week.
You''ll notice the bonus pick above and the +1000 odds for the Packers ML. Now, technically that is not accurate because you can actually get +1000 on the Packers just to score a point in this game. How, you ask? Well, Caesars Sportsbook has +1000 odds available for all new customers, where being paid out doesn't rely on your bet hitting! Basically, you bet $10 ML with Caesars and get paid out $100 when your team scores their first point. It's a no brainer really.
🏈Simulator: Browns vs. Packers
✍️Full betting preview: Browns vs. Packers
Colts vs. Cardinals, 8:15pm (EST)
BET: Colts Moneyline with Caesars (+1000)
You're probably thinking those +1000 odds for the Colts ML can't be right - and technically they're not. You see, new customers can bet $10 on Indianapolis (or the Cardinals) at the Moneyline with Caesars Sportsbook and get $100 the minute they score their first point. It doesn't even matter if they win the game, you still get paid when they register that first score. You can get more info on this crazy Christmas Day promotion from Caesars Sportsbook here.
Now, the Cardinals are not in great form, having lost their last two, with last week's 30-12 loss to the Lions arguably the most shocking result of the season so far.
While they're not going to quite be the Steelers of last season, Arizona looks like a team that jumped out of the blocks and was then quickly figured out by the opposition.
It's hard to bet against Jonathan Taylor right now, so, at even money, we're taking the Colts to win this one on the road. If you haven't got a Caesars account, we recommend placing this bet with them here so you can $100 the second the Colts score a point.
🏈Simulator: Colts vs. Cardinals
✍️Full betting preview: Colts vs. Cardinals
Free NFL Parlay For Saturday, December 25, 2021
1️⃣ Packers -7.5
2️⃣ Colts ML
🎁 Parlay these picks (+290)
NFL WEEK 16 BETTING HUB:
💰CHRISTMAS SPORTSBOOK PROMOS
📊PICKS FOR EVERY NFL GAME
Best Christmas Day Sportsbook Offers
- Get $100 if one point is scored
- 30/1 moneyline odds on any team
- Bet $10, Win $200 For one TD
- Get all Week 16 Sportsbook Offers here
Caesars Sportsbook: Get $100 if Your Team Scores a Point
Use the Promo Code: DIMERSHOLIDAY during the registration process and you will get access to Caesars' Christmas Specials.
New customers just have to place a $10 Moneyline bet on any team, playing in any NBA or NFL game (Dec 25 or Dec 26), and if that team scores A SINGLE POINT, then you turn your $10 stake into $100!
Click below to get started with Caesars.
MORE: Caesars Christmas Holidays Offer
FanDuel Sportsbook: Get +3000 ML odds on Any NFL or NBA Team
Ever dreamt of getting a crazy 30/1 odds in a NBA or NFL game? Well FanDuel Sportsbook is giving new customers just for the Christmas Day games, when you join with Dimers.
Basically, you just need to open an account, make your first deposit and then bet $5 and YOU WILL WIN $150 if your bets hits - how good is that!
Available in NJ, IN, CO, PA, IL, MI, TN, VA. Claim this FanDuel offer now via Dimers.
MORE: FanDuel Sportsbook Bet $5, wIn $150 Christmas Day Offer
BetMGM: Bet $10, Win $200 if A Team Scores a Touchdown on Christmas Day
It’s as simple as this – Bet $10, Win $200 if your Team Scores a TD with BetMGM Sportsbook. Even if your team loses, you’re still taking home $200 in free bets. Choose a team playing Christmas Day, bet $10 and then sit back and relax, knowing you’re a winner as soon as they get in for six.
Available in CO, IN, PA, NV, NJ, WV, IA, VA, TN. Claim this BetMGM offer now via Dimers.
MORE: BetMGM Bet $10, Win $200 if there's a TD
Full NFL Schedule Week 16 2021
Thursday December 23, 2021
Saturday December 25 (Christmas Day), 2021
- Cleveland Browns at Green Bay Packers, 4:30PM ET
- Indianapolis Colts vs. Arizona Cardinals, 8:15PM ET
Sunday December 26, 2021
- Detroit Lions at Atlanta Falcons, 1PM ET
- New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles, 1PM ET
- Jacksonville Jaguars at New York Jets, 1PM ET
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers, 1PM ET
- Los Angeles Chargers at Houston Texans, 1PM ET
- Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots, 1PM ET
- Los Angeles Rams at Minnesota Vikings, 1PM ET
- Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals, 1PM ET
- Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks, 4:05PM ET
- Denver Broncos at Las Vegas Raiders, 4:25PM ET
- Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs, 4:25PM ET
- Washington Football Team at Dallas Cowboys, 8:20PM ET
Monday December 27, 2021
All 2021 NFL Week 16 times are subject to change.
Flex scheduling rules apply and will be in effect through to Week 17.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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