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NFL Week 14: Dolphins vs. Chargers Player Props & Predictions, Sunday December 11, 2022

It's Week 14 Sunday Night Football between the Dolphins and the Chargers and we've got a number of projected player props for you to bet on. Sink your teeth into everything from projected first touchdown scorers at SoFi Stadium, down to rushing yards and receiving yards. Our predictive analytics model, known as DimersBOT, has run over 10,000 simulations of this NFL Week 14 game between the Miami Dolphins and the Los Angeles Chargers, where we have the Dolphins registering a win. Based on our Dolphins-Chargers predictions, it also looks as though Miami's Tyreek Hill is in for a big night, with the Dolphins WR featuring heavily in our projections, listed in more detail below.
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NFL Week 14 Props: Dolphins vs. Chargers
Who will score the first touchdown in Dolphins vs. Chargers? Well, the latest Sunday Night Football data is in.
Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Dolphins and Chargers, as well as player stat projections.
And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop picks for Sunday night's game.
According to DimersBOT, Miami's Tyreek Hill is most likely to score the first TD in Dolphins vs. Chargers.
DimersBOT gives Hill an 11.6% chance of scoring the first TD at SoFi Stadium, while the Dolphins WR is a 51.0% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.
RELATED: Player Prop Bets for every NFL game
Dolphins vs. Chargers Touchdown Props
Who Will Score The First Touchdown?
PLAYER | FIRST TOUCHDOWN |
Tyreek Hill | 11.4% probability |
Jeff Wilson | 11.2% probability |
Austin Ekeler | 10.9% probability |
Jaylen Waddle | 8.3% probability |
Keenan Allen | 7.9% probability |
Raheem Mostert | 6.1% probability |
Mike Williams | 5.4% probability |
Gerald Everett | 5.1% probability |
Joshua Palmer | 5.1% probability |
Trent Sherfield | 4.1% probability |
Who Will Score An Anytime Touchdown?
PLAYER | ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN |
Tyreek Hill | 51.9% probability |
Jeff Wilson | 51.2% probability |
Austin Ekeler | 49.7% probability |
Keenan Allen | 40.0% probability |
Jaylen Waddle | 38.9% probability |
Raheem Mostert | 30.6% probability |
Mike Williams | 27.9% probability |
Joshua Palmer | 26.8% probability |
Gerald Everett | 26.1% probability |
Trent Sherfield | 21.1% probability |
For NFL prop bets from EVERY game being played this week, check out our NFL Prop Bets generator to find yourself today's best plays.
Dolphins at Chargers Player Prop Predictions
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is projected to have a big Sunday Night with 293 passing yards. The Chargers' Justin Herbert is expected to throw for 279 yards.
Look for the 🔥 below, as that indicates a spot where DimersBOT has found value against the sportsbooks. To make things easy for you, we even list the best player props bets to place, below.
Dolphins Starting QB
- Tua Tagovailoa: 293 yards
Chargers Starting QB
- Justin Herbert: 279 yards
Dolphins Rushing
- Jeff Wilson: 65 yards
- Raheem Mostert: 44 yards 🔥
- Tua Tagovailoa: 8 yards
Chargers Rushing
- Austin Ekeler: 59 yards
- Isaiah Spiller: 13 yards
- Joshua Kelley: 13 yards
- Justin Herbert: 10 yards 🔥
Dolphins Receiving
- Tyreek Hill: 100 yards
- Jaylen Waddle: 76 yards
- Cedrick Wilson: 25 yards
- Mike Gesicki: 21 yards
- Jeff Wilson: 20 yards
- Raheem Mostert: 10 yards 🔥
Chargers Receiving
- Keenan Allen: 60 yards
- Mike Williams: 51 yards
- Joshua Palmer: 39 yards
- Austin Ekeler: 39 yards
- DeAndre Carter: 37 yards
NFL Player Prop Bets - Dolphins vs. Chargers
🔥 BET: Justin Herbert Under 15.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
Our predictive analytics model has Herb down for significantly less than his line of 15.5 rushing yards on Sunday night, so at odds of -120 we are betting his UNDER and getting an edge of 21.7% with PointsBet Sportsbook, where new customers can get 4x risk-free $100 bets to use on whatever they want, right here.
🔥 BET: Raheem Mostert Under 47.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Following over 10,000 different simulations of this Sunday Night Football matchup between the Dolphins and the Chargers we've identified that the rushing yards line of 47.5 for Dolphins star Mostert is too high. We have the Miami man down for just 44 rushing yards (see above), so betting his UNDER (-110) with DraftKings Sportsbook is the play, giving us an edge of 13.8% vs. the sportsbook. New DraftKings customers can score $150 in free bets from just a $5 wager here.
🔥 BET: Raheem Mostert Over 6.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
The super computer has Mostert down for well over 6.5 receiving yards on Sunday night at a probability of 71.7% with a 17.1% edge. By betting this OVER 6.5 at PointsBet Sportsbook we get access to those 4x risk-free $100 bets mentioned above, here.
🔥 BET: DeAndre Carter To Score a Touchdown (+500)
DimersBOT has once again found some huge value here, this time for DeAndre Carter to score a TD in SNF and move to 3-1 from its last four plus-money TD picks. While the model has identified him as a 25.0% chance of reaching the endzone, the real value is the huge 8.3% edge we have vs. the sportsbooks' odds. We can bet this over at Caesars Sportsbook where new customers can score a risk-free first bet up to $1250 by tapping here.