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NFL Week 14: Dolphins vs. Chargers Player Props & Predictions, Sunday December 11, 2022

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Written by Nick Slade
NFL Week 14: Dolphins vs. Chargers Player Props & Predictions, Sunday December 11, 2022

It's Week 14 Sunday Night Football between the Dolphins and the Chargers and we've got a number of projected player props for you to bet on. Sink your teeth into everything from projected first touchdown scorers at SoFi Stadium, down to rushing yards and receiving yards. Our predictive analytics model, known as DimersBOT, has run over 10,000 simulations of this NFL Week 14 game between the Miami Dolphins and the Los Angeles Chargers, where we have the Dolphins registering a win. Based on our Dolphins-Chargers predictions, it also looks as though Miami's Tyreek Hill is in for a big night, with the Dolphins WR featuring heavily in our projections, listed in more detail below.

 
 

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NFL Week 14 Props: Dolphins vs. Chargers

Who will score the first touchdown in Dolphins vs. Chargers? Well, the latest Sunday Night Football data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Dolphins and Chargers, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop picks for Sunday night's game.

According to DimersBOT, Miami's Tyreek Hill is most likely to score the first TD in Dolphins vs. Chargers.

DimersBOT gives Hill an 11.6% chance of scoring the first TD at SoFi Stadium, while the Dolphins WR is a 51.0% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

RELATED: Player Prop Bets for every NFL game

Dolphins vs. Chargers Touchdown Props

Who Will Score The First Touchdown?

PLAYER FIRST TOUCHDOWN
Tyreek Hill 11.4% probability
Jeff Wilson 11.2% probability
Austin Ekeler 10.9% probability
Jaylen Waddle 8.3% probability
Keenan Allen 7.9% probability
Raheem Mostert 6.1% probability
Mike Williams 5.4% probability
Gerald Everett 5.1% probability
Joshua Palmer 5.1% probability
Trent Sherfield 4.1% probability

Who Will Score An Anytime Touchdown?

PLAYER ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Tyreek Hill 51.9% probability
Jeff Wilson 51.2% probability
Austin Ekeler 49.7% probability
Keenan Allen 40.0% probability
Jaylen Waddle 38.9% probability
Raheem Mostert 30.6% probability
Mike Williams 27.9% probability
Joshua Palmer 26.8% probability
Gerald Everett 26.1% probability
Trent Sherfield 21.1% probability

For NFL prop bets from EVERY game being played this week, check out our NFL Prop Bets generator to find yourself today's best plays.


Is Tony Pollard the better Cowboy running back to bet on Sunday? We weigh it up on Week 14's Prop or Chop!
 

Dolphins at Chargers Player Prop Predictions

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is projected to have a big Sunday Night with 293 passing yards. The Chargers' Justin Herbert is expected to throw for 279 yards.

Look for the 🔥 below, as that indicates a spot where DimersBOT has found value against the sportsbooks. To make things easy for you, we even list the best player props bets to place, below.

Dolphins Starting QB

  • Tua Tagovailoa: 293 yards

Chargers Starting QB

  • Justin Herbert: 279 yards

Dolphins Rushing

  • Jeff Wilson: 65 yards
  • Raheem Mostert: 44 yards 🔥
  • Tua Tagovailoa: 8 yards

Chargers Rushing

  • Austin Ekeler: 59 yards
  • Isaiah Spiller: 13 yards
  • Joshua Kelley: 13 yards
  • Justin Herbert: 10 yards 🔥

Dolphins Receiving

  • Tyreek Hill: 100 yards
  • Jaylen Waddle: 76 yards
  • Cedrick Wilson: 25 yards
  • Mike Gesicki: 21 yards
  • Jeff Wilson: 20 yards
  • Raheem Mostert: 10 yards 🔥

Chargers Receiving

  • Keenan Allen: 60 yards
  • Mike Williams: 51 yards
  • Joshua Palmer: 39 yards
  • Austin Ekeler: 39 yards
  • DeAndre Carter: 37 yards

NFL Player Prop Bets - Dolphins vs. Chargers

🔥 BET: Justin Herbert Under 15.5 Rushing Yards (-120)

Our predictive analytics model has Herb down for significantly less than his line of 15.5 rushing yards on Sunday night, so at odds of -120 we are betting his UNDER and getting an edge of 21.7% with PointsBet Sportsbook, where new customers can get 4x risk-free $100 bets to use on whatever they want, right here.

🔥 BET: Raheem Mostert Under 47.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Following over 10,000 different simulations of this Sunday Night Football matchup between the Dolphins and the Chargers we've identified that the rushing yards line of 47.5 for Dolphins star Mostert is too high. We have the Miami man down for just 44 rushing yards (see above), so betting his UNDER (-110) with DraftKings Sportsbook is the play, giving us an edge of 13.8% vs. the sportsbook. New DraftKings customers can score $150 in free bets from just a $5 wager here.

🔥 BET: Raheem Mostert Over 6.5 Receiving Yards (-120)

The super computer has Mostert down for well over 6.5 receiving yards on Sunday night at a probability of 71.7% with a 17.1% edge. By betting this OVER 6.5 at PointsBet Sportsbook we get access to those 4x risk-free $100 bets mentioned above, here.

🔥 BET: DeAndre Carter To Score a Touchdown (+500)

DimersBOT has once again found some huge value here, this time for DeAndre Carter to score a TD in SNF and move to 3-1 from its last four plus-money TD picks. While the model has identified him as a 25.0% chance of reaching the endzone, the real value is the huge 8.3% edge we have vs. the sportsbooks' odds. We can bet this over at Caesars Sportsbook where new customers can score a risk-free first bet up to $1250 by tapping here.

 
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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

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