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NFL Prop Bets Today - Week 1, 2023

NFL prop betting is here for another huge season, with our best NFL prop picks here to assist you through Week 1. After simulating every NFL game on Sunday's Week 1 slate thousands of times, we have diligently determined the top five NFL player prop bets for the Week 1 slate.
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Best NFL Prop Bets - Week 1
With an exciting slate of Week 1 games scheduled across the USA on Sunday, finding the best spots for NFL props can be tricky.
That's where Dimers.com – powered by our famous predictive analytics model, DimersBOT – steps in.
We have done the grunt work for you, comparing all of the lines and odds from the top sportsbooks in the United States, to make betting on NFL player props as simple as possible in Week 1.
There is no shortage of betting choices in the player prop market for Week 1, with players such as Rhamondre Stevenson, D'Onta Foreman and Anthony Richardson presenting value according to DimersBOT.
Best Prop Bets for NFL Week 1
We have gone over the lines and picked out our favorite player prop bets you should consider for Week 1, based on edges we have spotted in the market.
Here are player props to explore across Week 1 below.
Rhamondre Stevenson Under 3.5 Receptions (-115)
- Odds: -115 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- Probability: 78.2%
- Edge: 24.7%
- Game: Eagles vs. Patriots (4:25PM ET)
Our model has determined the best NFL prop bet for Week 1, focusing on the game between the Eagles and Patriots, with Rhamondre Stevenson the player we are targetting. We recommend placing a bet on Rhamondre Stevenson Under 3.5 Receptions for New England this week.
DimersBOT projects that Stevenson has a 78.2% chance of going under 3.5 rec in Week 1, which give us a nice 24.7% edge on the -115 odds currently available from DraftKings Sportsbook.
MORE: NFL Best Props Today
D'Onta Foreman Over 5.5 Rushing Attempts (+114)
- Odds: +114 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- Probability: 70.5%
- Edge: 23.8%
- Game: Packers vs. Bears, (4:25PM ET)
Our model has found another +EV prop bet for this week's NFL, with D'Onta Foreman in our sights in the Packers - Bears game. We recommend placing a bet on D'Onta Foreman Over 5.5 Rushing Attempts, with an edge of 23.8% available on the +114 odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Anthony Richardson Under 46.5 Rushing Yards (+100)
- Odds: +100 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- Probability: 72.5%
- Edge: 22.5%
- Game: Jaguars vs. Colts, (1:00PM ET)
According to our model, the next best player prop bet for this week's NFL features Anthony Richardson in the Jaguars vs. Colts clash. The recommended play here is on Anthony Richardson Under 46.5 Rushing Yards, with DimersBOT detecting an edge of 22.5% on the +100 odds available with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Raheem Mostert Under 14.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
- Odds: -110 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- Probability: 74.6%
- Edge: 22.2%
- Game: Dolphins vs. Chargers (4:25PM ET)
The next NFL player prop we recommend playing this week comes in the Dolphins vs. Chargers game, with Raheem Mostert presenting value in the receiving yards prop market. We recommend placing a bet on Raheem Mostert Under 14.5 Receiving Yards for Miami this week.
DimersBOT projects that Mostert has a 74.6% chance of going under 14.5 rec yds in Week 1, which give us a tasty 22.2% edge on the -110 odds currently available from DraftKings Sportsbook.
Derek Carr Under 2.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
- Odds: -110 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- Probability: 74.1%
- Edge: 21.7%
- Game: Titans vs. Saints, (1:00PM ET)
According to our model, the next best player prop bet for NFL Week 1 features Derek Carr in the Titans vs. Saints clash. The recommended play here is on Derek Carr Under 2.5 Rushing Yards, with DimersBOT detecting an edge of 22.5% on the +100 odds available with DraftKings Sportsbook.
NFL Prop Picks - Week 1, 2023
- Eagles vs. Patriots: Rhamondre Stevenson Under 3.5 Receptions (-115 via DraftKings Sportsbook, 24.7% edge)
- Packers vs. Bears: D'Onta Foreman Over 5.5 Rushing Attempts (+114 via DraftKings Sportsbook, 23.8% edge)
- Jaguars vs. Colts: Anthony Richardson Under 46.5 Rushing Yards (+100 via DraftKings Sportsbook, 22.5% edge)
- Dolphins vs. Chargers: Raheem Mostert Under 14.5 Receiving Yards (-110 via DraftKings Sportsbook, 22.2% edge)
- Titans vs. Saints: Derek Carr Under 2.5 Rushing Yards (-110 via DraftKings Sportsbook, 21.7% edge)
MORE: Every NFL Week 1 Game Simulated 10,000 Times
More NFL Week 1 Picks
So, you liked our NFL best props for Week 1? Awesome. Did you know our NFL betting news page has a comprehensive betting preview for every NFL Week 1 matchup?
That's right, we use our predictive analytics model to compare all of the available odds (aka Vegas odds) against its probabilities to find value in every single NFL game, not just the ones featured above. This allows us to produce the most authoritative NFL betting previews and get the jump on the public and the sportsbooks.
In addition to our NFL player prop predictions, Dimers also offers the best NFL picks, projecting the spread, moneyline, over/under and more against the odds available.
Lastly, Dimers' NFL futures page is our in-house approach to determining who will win the Super Bowl - as well as each NFL Division and Conference - with our data-led probabilities matched against the best odds available.
What Is the Best NFL Prop Picks Website?
Dimers.com is an outstanding site for NFL player prop picks, offering expert analysis and NFL prop predictions every week of the 2023 season. If you're a football fan looking for dependable, accurate information to help you make informed betting decisions when it comes to Week 1 NFL props, Dimers.com should be your number one source.
The site features a team of experienced data analysts and NFL experts who specialize in examining the latest matchups and trends across the National Football League. They use advanced predictive analytics models and cutting-edge data analysis techniques to generate highly accurate NFL player projections, which we share with our readers through both written previews and our renowned Best Props section.
In addition to our expert analysis and prop betting picks, Dimers.com also offers a wealth of educational resources to help NFL bettors improve their skills and knowledge. From beginner's guides to advanced betting strategies, the site is an invaluable tool for anyone looking to gain an edge in the highly competitive world of sports betting.
Overall, if you're looking for a reliable and accurate resource for weekly NFL prop betting picks, Dimers.com is the perfect choice.
Make Smarter NFL Prop Betting Decisions - Week 1, 2023
At Dimers.com, we take the responsibility of providing NFL prop betting picks very seriously, especially when considering the implications of gambling and the potential impact on our users' financial well-being and quality of life.
While we strive to provide accurate and insightful betting advice for prop bettors, we always recommend that our users exercise caution and conduct their own research before using our NFL prop picks or any other betting advice, as ultimately, it's up to each individual to make informed decisions that align with their personal values and goals. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.