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NFL player props today: Week 4 plays include Tyler Conklin [9/28/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get NFL player props today with projections for Sunday's Week 4 games.
Our NFL player props for Sunday, September 28, 2025, are locked and loaded, generated through groundbreaking simulations and machine learning techniques.
These NFL player props are designed to enhance your betting strategy and feature players like Tyler Conklin, Jonathan Taylor and Joshua Palmer.
Three of today's prop betting opportunities are listed below, with Dimers Pro members getting unlimited access to our full suite of prop picks and today's NFL player projections.
Today's full list of NFL prop bets is led by a player in the Panthers vs. Patriots game to go under his rushing attempts line, with our in-house predictive model pinpointing an edge of 15% at +100 odds.
Join Dimers Pro now to unlock this and more data-driven props and best bets.
List of NFL prop bets for Week 4
While the NFL prop picks on this page for Sunday are sorted by win probability, betting on likelihood alone means leaving money on the table.
Astute bettors chase edge—not just probability—and the highest-edge picks are reserved for Dimers Pro users to give them the best shot at winning.
Tyler Conklin over 0.5 receptions (-190)
- Probability: 71.3%
- Projection: 1.2
- Edge: 5.7%
- Game: Chargers vs. Giants (1:00PM ET)
Our model has found a strong NFL prop for the Chargers vs. Giants game in Week 4, focusing on LA Chargers' Tyler Conklin. With a 71.3% chance of hitting, we suggest betting on Tyler Conklin over 0.5 receptions at -190 odds, offering an edge of 5.7%.
Jonathan Taylor over 1.5 receptions (-190)
- Probability: 70.4%
- Projection: 2.5
- Edge: 4.9%
- Game: Colts vs. Rams (4:05PM ET)
Our model has identified another high-probability prop for this week's NFL, with Indianapolis' Jonathan Taylor in our sights in the Colts-Rams game. We suggest betting on Jonathan Taylor over 1.5 receptions with an edge of 4.9% at -190 odds.
Joshua Palmer over 1.5 receptions (-150)
- Probability: 69.9%
- Projection: 2.4
- Edge: 9.9%
- Game: Saints vs. Bills (1:00PM ET)
According to our analysis, another strong prop for this week's NFL focuses on Buffalo's Joshua Palmer in the Saints vs. Bills game. Our recommended bet is Joshua Palmer over 1.5 receptions at -150 odds, with a 69.9% chance of hitting and a 9.9% edge.
NFL player prop picks: Week 4, 2025
A quick summary of today’s top three props by probability according to our model as of 12:59PM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Probability | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chargers vs. Giants | Tyler Conklin Over 0.5 Receptions | -190 @ BetMGM | 71.3% | 5.7% |
| Colts vs. Rams | Jonathan Taylor Over 1.5 Receptions | -190 @ BetMGM | 70.4% | 4.9% |
| Saints vs. Bills | Joshua Palmer Over 1.5 Receptions | -150 @ BetMGM | 69.9% | 9.9% |
Unlock unlimited access to our full suite of prop picks by signing up for Dimers Pro.
Sunday's NFL props include a standout play with an edge of 15% on the best available odds—the kind of high-value bet you won't find by chasing probability alone.
Dimers Pro users have access to 146 NFL player props at the time of writing, all backed by real betting value.
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More about NFL
The prop bets on this page are part of our NFL player props and NFL best bets series.
Stay up-to-date with the latest NFL betting news, data-driven NFL predictions, NFL betting trends and Super Bowl odds.
Conclusion
For September 28, 2025, our NFL prop bets are locked and loaded, featuring players like Tyler Conklin, Jonathan Taylor and Joshua Palmer. Backed by the latest data and advanced simulations, these picks are here to make sure you're betting smarter, not harder.
With the help of AI and automation, this article delivers today's NFL prop bets and insights quickly and accurately, while human oversight ensures high editorial quality. Our predictions are grounded in the latest data to help you make informed decisions.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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