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NFL Player Prop Bets For Sunday November 27, 2022

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Written by Nick Slade
NFL Player Prop Bets For Sunday November 27, 2022

We dive deep into our predictive analytics model to identify the best NFL player props for Week 12 on Sunday November 27, 2022, plus the best odds and betting opportunities. Using the world renowned Monte Carlo method, we have simulated every major pro and college sport over 10,000 times to produce NFL predictions that paint the clearest picture of what is likely to occur in any given game, and which players will contribute to those predictions either hitting or missing. We then use these suggested prop bets and match them against the sportsbooks' odds to identify where we have a betting edge, and where we believe the odds makers have got it wrong in their assessment of a NFL matchup.

Taking the First Touchdown, Anytime Touchdown, Receiving Yards, Passing Yards, Rushing Yards, Completions, Passing Attempts and Receptions player prop markets, and then matching them against the results of our simulations, gives us a massive opportunity to identify the best player prop bets for Sunday, with the biggest edges, to throw our cash down on Sunday.

For NFL prop bets from EVERY game being played Sunday, check out our NFL Prop Bets generator to find yourself Sunday's best plays.

 

NFL Player Props Sunday: Week 12

Buccaneers vs. Browns

BET: Jacoby Brissett Under 18.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

DimersBOT has Brissett down as an 83.0% chance of staying Under the 18.5 rushing yards line set by the sportsbooks for the Browns' clash with the Bucs. With odds of -115 available, betting his Under 18.5 rushing yards line gives us a huge edge of 29.5%. We need to place this bet at DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users get $150 in bonuses from a $5 money line bet. Claim it here.

Falcons vs. Commanders

BET: Taylor Heinicke Over 27.5 Passing Attempts (-130)

We think Heinicke is an 86.0% chance of smashing through his passing attempts line against the Falcons. With odds of -130 available, betting his Over 27.5 gives us an edge of 29.5%. To get full bang for our buck, we need to place this bet at BetMGM Sportsbook, where new users get a $1000 risk-free bet. Claim it here.

BET: Taylor Heinicke Over 12.5 Rushing Yards (-108)

We've also marked him down as a 74.5% chance of hitting his rushing yards line tonight against Detroit, so with odds of -108 available we should bet this with DraftKings Sportsbook where we have a 22.6% edge. You can register a DraftKings account here and score a $200 in bonuses from a $5 money line bet.

BET: Marcus Mariota Over 13.5 Passing Completions (-114)

We're all over this game's other QB here in Mariota, but for him we're targeting his passing completions line of 13.5. According to DimersBOT, Mariota is an 81.6% chance of going beyond the 13.5 mark set by the books. So, when you consider the odds of -114 on offer, this gives us a 28.3% edge at BetMGM Sportsbook.

Remember, if your game is not here, check out our NFL Prop Bets generator to find yourself Sunday's best plays from EVERY game.

Ravens vs. Jaguars

BET: Lamar Jackson Over 52.5 Rushing Yards (-113)

The super computer has Lamar going over this number Sunday against the Jags. At odds of -113, we're betting him to go Over 52.5 rushing yards at an 82.4% probability, with an edge of 29.3%. To get max bang for our buck we need to place this bet at Caesars Sportsbook and it's a bet we can place with confidence. New Caesars customers can secure a risk-free bet of us to $1250! Claim yours here.

Bet: Lamar Jackson Over 8.5 Rushing Attempts (-130)

Sticking with Jackson, our predictive analytics model has him down as a 82.2% chance of going Over his line rushing attempts line as well, so with nice odds of -130 available we have a 25.6% edge over at DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users get $150 in bonuses from a $5 money line bet. Claim it here.

BET: Travis Etienne Over 17.5 Receiving Yards (-117)

Etienne has been on fire so far this season and we see no reason why that won't continue this week against the Ravens. Our predictive analytics model has determined that the 17.5 receiving yards line set for him is too low and that he is a 74.4% chance of going over this mark. We need to place this bet at PointsBet, where new customers can score 5x $100 risk-free bets by joining Sunday right here.


Is Jaylen Waddle's receiving yards prop flying under the radar today? Parlay Jay explains why it's a must-bet prop on today's Prop or Chop!


Chargers vs. Cardinals

BET: Austin Ekeler Under 5.5 Receptions (-110)

After over 10,000 sims of this game, our predictive analytics model has determined that the 5.5 receptions line set for Ekeler is too high and that he is a 80.2% chance of staying under this mark against Cards. We're getting odds of -110 over at FanDuel Sportsbook, so the Under represents a big edge of 27.8% and is another bet we can place with confidence.

BET: Austin Ekeler Under 40.5 Receiving Yards (-125)

DimersBOT also has Ekeler as a 76.0% chance of missing his receiving yards line as well, and with odds of -125 available, betting his Under 40.5 gives us a nice edge of 20.4%. To get full bang for our buck, we need to place this bet at BetMGM Sportsbook, where new users get a $1000 risk-free bet. Claim it here.

Texans vs. Dolphins

BET: Jaylen Waddle Over 67.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

We predict Wadddle is a 78.9% chance of going Over the 67.5 receiving yards line set by the sportsbooks. The Over presents a massive edge of 25.4%, so to ensure we get full bang for our buck here, we need to place this bet at BetMGM Sportsbook, where new users get a $1000 risk-free bet. Claim it here.

NFL Prop Bets Today

NFL PLAYERS NFL PROP BETS
Jacoby Brissett Under 18.5 Rushing Yards
Taylor Heinicke Over 27.5 Passing Attempts
Lamar Jackson Over 52.5 Rushing Yards
Marcus Mariota Over 13.5 Pass Completions
Austin Ekeler Under 5.5 Receptions
Lamar Jackson
Over 8.5 Rushing Attempts
Jaylen Waddle Over 67.5 Receiving Yards
Taylor Heinicke Over 12.5 Rushing Yards
Travis Etienne Over 17.5 Receiving Yards
Austin Ekeler
Under 40.5 Receiving Yards

Remember, if your game is not here, check out our NFL Prop Bets generator to find yourself Sunday's best plays from EVERY game.

 
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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

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