NFL Parlay Picks: Three props for a same game parlay in Vikings vs. Falcons on Sunday Night Football

NFL Sunday in Week 2 wraps up tonight with the Minnesota Vikings hosting the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday Night Football and Dimers is back for the primetime action.

It's going to be our biggest NFL season yet on Dimers, with the launch of our brand-new NFL Player Projections Hub, complete with boxscores and fantasy projections, our improved NFL models and the rollout of our new Dimers Sports Betting Podcast.

After cashing our SNF parlay last week, we're putting those tools to work with a +400 SGP in Vikings-Falcons over at DraftKings where you can unlock a $200 NFL Sunday Ticket Discount.

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+400 Minnesota Vikings vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Same Game Parlay Picks

After simulating tonight's game over 10,000 times, our model has identified the following projections and probabilities for the picks that make up our three-leg same game parlay in Vikings vs. Falcons on Sunday Night Football, September 14.

MORE: Vikings vs. Falcons SNF Full Game Betting Preview

Leg 1: Michael Penix Jr. 220+ Passing Yards

First up is Michael Penix Jr., the Falcons second-year QB who will be facing off against JJ McCarthy under center for the Vikings in a rematch of their 2023 National Championship clash.

Penix Jr. put on a little show in Week 1, leaning heavily on his supporting cast, namely Bijan Robinson who accounted for 100 of the QB's nearly 300 passing yards vs. the Bucs.

The Vikings allowed Caleb Williams to throw for 210 yards on Monday night, left plenty of potential yards in penalties on the field at the end of the game, and Williams didn't even look good. Penix now gets his full complement of WRs healthy and a strong 242.4-passing yard projection from the Dimers model and a 57.4% probability to go over his line of 229.5 against a Vikings defense missing CB Jeff Okudah.

You can take his over of 229.5 for slightly better odds at -115 which is also supported by the model, but we'll tease down just a few for 220+ passing yards on SNF.

Leg 2: Aaron Jones Over 18.5 Receiving Yards

Next up we're going to the Vikings backfield for a receiving prop on one of the best passing game RBs in the league, Aaron Jones.

Jones is splitting the backfield with Jordan Mason but if Week 1 is any indication, Mason will be the workhorse to Jones' complementary features, notably in the passing game. Mason was much more effective on the ground, while Jones showed he's still a very capable receiver with 3 catches for 44 yards and a long 27-yard TD. Jones had 3+ targets in all but 5 games and hit this over in 11 games last season as well.

The Falcons were effective against the run in Week 1, but saw Bucky Irving of the Bucs catch 4 passes, including a long catch of 9 yards and a TD.

The Dimers model projects Jones for 21.1 receiving yards and 2.6 receptions on Sunday night.

MORE: The Dimers Sports Betting Podcast - Episode 3

Leg 3: Bijan Robinson Anytime TD Scorer 

We close out with our top overall TD scorer in this game, the elusive and speedy Bijan Robinson.

Robinson opened up the Sunday scoring with a 50-yard receiving TD less than two minutes into the game and now he'll get a Vikings defense missing Andrew Van Ginkel who's been crucial in limiting the pass game underneath, right where Robinson gets his targets. And that's aside from the fact that he's likely to see 15+ carries which he did in 13/17 games last season.

Robinson gets a 58.3% Anytime TD probability, nearly 15% higher than the next most likely player in this game, Jordan Mason, which makes fair odds on its own. We've also got an edge on Robinson to score 2+ Touchdowns in our Best NFL Props at a 21.9% probability, a Top 5 mark of the day, highlighting significant upside.

Dimers' NFL Betting Resources for the 2025-26 Season

• NFL Week 2 Predictions: Our data-backed previews for every Week 2 matchup
• NFL Best Bets: Our Top Picks for every game, every week
• NFL Projections: BRAND NEW Player Projections Hub
• The Dimers Sports Betting Podcast: Watch Episode 3
• Super Bowl Odds: Who will hoist the Lombardi Trophy?
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• NFL Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the league

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