NFL Parlay Picks: Three props for a same game parlay in Packers vs. Commanders on Thursday Night Football

It's Week 2 in the NFL and we're kicking things off with another Primetime Parlay with a special boost over at bet365 for tonight's Green Bay Packers vs. Washington Commanders Thursday Night Football matchup on September 11, 2025.

This is going to be our biggest NFL season yet on Dimers, with the launch of our brand-new NFL Player Projections Hub, complete with boxscores and fantasy projections, our improved NFL models and the rollout of our new Dimers Sports Betting Podcast.

After cashing one of last week's Primetime SGPs, we're rolling out our first Primetime Parlay of Week 2 with a +750 SGP boosted to +900 thanks to the folks at bet365, where new users can score up to a $300 bonus, including in newly-launched Maryland.

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+750 Packers vs. Commanders NFL Same Game Parlay Picks

After simulating tonight's game over 10,000 times, our model has identified the following projections and probabilities for the picks that make up our three-leg same game parlay in Packers vs. Commanders on Thursday Night Football, September 11.

MORE: Packers vs. Commanders TNF Full Game Betting Preview

Leg 1: Romeo Doubs 40+ Receiving Yards

We'll start off with the Packers leading receiver from Week 1, Romeo Doubs.

It didn't take much to lead the Packers WR corps vs. the Lions, with Jordan Love attempting just 22 passes and spreading the ball to 10 different receivers. And yet, Doubs delivered with 2 catches for 68 yards.

A patented big play guy, Doubs stretches the field and makes contested catches, hitting this in 8/13 regular season games last year with a chunk play of 20+ yards in all but one of them. He projects to lead this room again on TNF with 46.5 receiving yards and plenty of upside.

The Commanders let Malik Nabers and Wan'Dale Robinson hit this mark with a dreadfully bad Russell Wilson throwing the ball and the model favors him to get there in Week 2.

Leg 2: Deebo Samuel 50+ Receiving Yards

Almost the same prop but on the other side, we're looking at the Commanders leading receiver, and by a wide margin, in Week 1.

Deebo Samuel joined the Commanders in the offseason and instantly made an impact, hauling in 7 of 10 targets for 77 receiving yards, and adding a 19-yard rushing TD on the ground.

The next two leading receivers were Curtis Samuel with 1 catch and RB Austin Ekeler with three catches and 31 yards out of the backfield.

While we project a bounceback game for Terry McLaurin with 59 receiving yards, Samuel is right behind him at 57.4 making 50 a nice target at some good odds of -115.

MORE: The Dimers Sports Betting Podcast - Episode 2 

Leg 3: Jacory Croskey-Merritt Anytime TD Scorer

We'll close out with a TD prop in this one and it's on a player tied for the best probability on the Commanders.

Rookie RB Jacory "Bill" Croskey-Merritt gained a lot of offseason hype before finding himself as the RB4 on the depth chart before Week 1. this was puzzling his clear upside compared to Jeremy Mcnichols and Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Well that didn't last long - "Bill" took 10 carries for 82 yards and a 1 score, including a 42-yard big run.

Our model has instantly adjusted and projects him to lead the backfield with 44 yards along with  a 33.9% TD probability at +180 odds, just about a fair price, meaning we're getting a little extra with the boosted parlay.

Green Bay brought out the run game clamps vs. the Lions, but the quick turnaround might have the defense just a bit more gassed and the rookie showed his spark enough for us to ride with him in Week 2.

Bet with a Boost at Bet365

As mentioned, we get a boost for even better odds thanks to bet365, bringing this SGP from +750 up to +900, a difference of a $150 payout for a $100 bettor.

Odds are correct at publishing and subject to change.

Dimers' NFL Betting Resources for the 2025-26 Season

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