NFL Parlay Picks: Three props for a same game parlay in Lions vs. Ravens on Monday Night Football

A mouthwatering Monday night is upon us with a blockbuster battle between two of the best teams in the National Football League.

The Detroit Lions and Baltimore Ravens have hopes of lifting Lombardi this season, but with both squads heading into MNF with a 1-1 record, it's stating the obvious that getting the W and staying above .500 is pivotal. 

It's going to be our biggest NFL season yet on Dimers, with the launch of our brand-new NFL Player Projections Hub, complete with boxscores and fantasy projections, our improved NFL models and the rollout of our new Dimers Sports Betting Podcast.

We're putting those tools to work with a +550 SGP in Lions-Ravens over at DraftKings.

+550 Detroit Lions vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Same Game Parlay Picks

After simulating tonight's game over 10,000 times, our model has identified the following projections and probabilities for the picks that make up our three-leg same game parlay in Lions vs. Ravens on Monday Night Football, September 22.

MORE: Lions vs. Ravens MNF Full Game Betting Preview

Leg 1: Zay Flowers 70+ Receiving Yards

Zay Flowers has been a consistent bright spot for Baltimore’s offense through the first two weeks of the season, and Monday night sets up as another strong opportunity. The second-year wideout has already cleared this 70-yard mark in both games so far, going for a monster 143 yards in Week 1 before following it up with 75 against Cleveland. Flowers is proving to be Lamar Jackson’s go-to option, with his speed and route running giving defenses plenty of problems. That should continue against a Detroit secondary that’s been leaky to start the year. The Lions rank 25th in the NFL for receiving yards allowed to wide receivers, meaning volume and efficiency are both in Flowers’ favor. Dimers.com’s predictive model projects Flowers for 76 yards on Monday, putting him right in line to extend his streak to three straight overs. If the Ravens want to keep pace, Flowers’ big-play ability will need to be unlocked once again — and 70+ looks like a strong target.

Leg 2: Sam LaPorta 40+ Receiving Yards

When looking for a reliable matchup edge on Monday night, the tight end position stands out. Baltimore’s defense has done many things well through the opening stretch, but stopping opposing tight ends hasn’t been one of them. The Ravens enter this matchup ranked 31st in the NFL for receiving yards allowed to tight ends — a glaring weakness that Detroit will no doubt look to exploit. That brings Sam LaPorta firmly into focus. The Lions’ third-year TE flashed his ceiling with 79 yards on six catches against the mighty Green Bay defense in Week 1, and while he was held quieter against Chicago in Week 2 (just 26 yards), the underlying usage remains strong. Jared Goff continues to look LaPorta’s way on critical downs, and this is a spot where his involvement should naturally spike. Dimers.com projects him for 48 yards on Monday, comfortably clearing the 40-yard threshold. In what profiles as a close game, LaPorta’s ability to create mismatches across the middle gives Detroit one of its clearest pathways to moving the ball.

MORE: Monday's Best NFL Props

Leg 3: David Montgomery Anytime Touchdown

Touchdown betting often comes down to opportunity, and David Montgomery continues to carve out a valuable share of Detroit’s red zone work. While Jahmyr Gibbs has been the headline back, Montgomery’s role inside the 20 shouldn’t be overlooked. The numbers tell the story: Gibbs has logged seven red zone carries this year for one score, while Montgomery is right behind him with six red zone carries and a touchdown of his own. Head coach Dan Campbell has made it clear both backs will see chances when the Lions get in close, and Montgomery’s physical style gives him an edge at the goal line. At current market odds of +120, Montgomery’s anytime touchdown sits at a nice plus-money price. Dimers.com’s predictive model gives him a 46.1% probability of scoring, which translates to fair odds of +116 — suggesting a small but meaningful edge for bettors.

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