NFL Parlay Picks: Three props for a same game parlay in Eagles vs. Cowboys on Thursday Night Football

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We've been waiting all spring and summer for the return of football and it's finally arrived with the Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys on Thursday Night football.

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To get things started, we're rolling out our very first Primetime Parlay of the season, with a +675 SGP boosted to +850 thanks to the folks at bet365, where new users can score up to a $300 bonus, including in newly-launched Maryland.

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+850 Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys NFL Same Game Parlay Picks

After simulating tonight's game over 10,000 times, our model has identified the following projections and probabilities for the picks that make up our three-leg same game parlay in Eagles vs. Cowboys on Thursday Night Football, September 4.

MORE: Eagles vs. Cowboys TNF Full Game Betting Preview

Leg 1: A.J. Brown 70+ Receiving Yards

First up in our first primetime SGP of the year is the Eagles' alpha WR A.J. Brown.

When fully healthy, Brown is one of the best wide receivers in the league with over 1,000 yards in every season he's been in the league except 2021 when he played 13 games. But that was in Tennessee - he played 13 games last year, putting up 1,079 rec yards and had previously put up 1,400+ in his first two seasons in Philadelphia.

Brown has hit this in 3/6 career games vs. the Cowboys, landing just shy in two of those - the ceiling is always there, and he hit 109 yards in one of his games vs. the Cowboys last year before he played limited snaps in Week 18.

While the Cowboys were a middle-of-the-road passing defense last season, we don't know what to expect with Micah Parsons gone and the pass rush inarguably worse. While the Eagles may simply run all over the Cowboys with Saquon Barkley, Hurts may have plenty of time to throw without Parsons pushing through the line.

DimersBOT projects Brown for 77.2 yards tonight. 

Leg 2: Javonte Williams 40+ Receiving Yards

Next up is the presumptive leading man in the Cowboys backfield, Javonte Williams, who comes over for a fresh start after four years in Denver. 

Williams looked poised for a breakout in Denver before a brutal knee injury in his second season and he seemed to lack the burst he had before. Now in his third season fully removed from injury, he has a chance to bounce back.

This Cowboys backfield has a number of players, but Williams should lead with the bulk of the carries to start as they lean on the veteran with rookie Jaydon Blue barely playing in the preseason due to injury - they signed Williams for a reason and made him their RB1 without even playing in preseason.

He hit this in 5/6 games he saw 9+ carries last year and his rushing attempts line is set at 9.5, which we project over with a 58% probability, and we project Williams for 44.1 rushing yards tonight.

MORE: The Dimers Sports Betting Podcast - Episode 1

Leg 3: A.J. Brown Anytime TD Scorer

Our last leg is on a TD prop and we're going back to the big #11, A.J. Brown.

Brown has 3 career TDs vs. the Cowboys and could find himself on the receiving end of a big play that cashes this and almost his whole yards prop in one.

He scored 7 TDs in just 13 games last year including against the Cowboys in Week 18 with Kenny Pickett under center and before scoring a pair in the postseason with one in the Super Bowl.

He gets a 36.9% probability to score, the third-highest in this game and just about fair odds at +160 on bet365.

Odds correct at publishing and subject to change.

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