NFL Parlay Picks: Three props for a same game parlay in Bills vs. Ravens on Sunday Night Football

At long last, the NFL season is here!

We've been waiting all spring and summer for the return of football and it's finally arrived. After a pair of games during the week and an all-day Sunday slate, it's time for the first Sunday Night Football of the season, featuring the Buffalo Bills vs. Baltimore Ravens.

It's going to be our biggest NFL season yet on Dimers, with the launch of our brand-new NFL Player Projections Hub, complete with boxscores and fantasy projections, our improved NFL models and the rollout of our new Dimers Sports Betting Podcast.

We're putting those tools to work with a +525 SGP in Bills-Ravens over at DraftKings where you can unlock a $200 NFL Sunday Ticket Discount.

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+525 Buffalo Bills vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Same Game Parlay Picks

After simulating tonight's game over 10,000 times, our model has identified the following projections and probabilities for the picks that make up our three-leg same game parlay in Bills vs. Ravens on Sunday Night Football, September 7.

MORE: Bills vs. Ravens SNF Full Game Betting Preview

Leg 1: Derrick Henry Over 83.5 Rushing Yards

We start off with King Henry to do what he does best and run downhill to the tune of at least 84 rushing yards on Sunday night.

He's in his age-31 season this year, but Henry has shown few signs of slowing down, putting up 1,921 yards on the ground last season, headlined by 199-yard outing vs. none other than the Buffalo Bills. He also cleared this in their playoff matchup, landing on the right side of this hook with 84 yards.

The dimers model projects him to rumble for 91.0 yards, a pretty favorable projection given the sharp NFL lines. Further supporting this bet is that we also favor the over on his rushing attempts line of 16.5 with a 59.0% probability as one of our top props.

Leg 2: Zay Flowers 50+ Receiving Yards

Next up is another Ravens yards prop, but this time through the air.

Zay Flowers took a big leap last season, putting up 1,059 receiving yards, 200 more than he did in 2023 on 3 fewer catches.

He hit this in 9 games last year and as long as he gets his targets, he's got a good chance. In four of his eight unders, he saw 4 or fewer targets, including the Week 18 Browns blowout in which he barely played due to an injury in the game.

He's back now and ready to go, projecting as our top receiver in this game with a 64.1 yards, a comfortable 14 yards over the line we need.

MORE: The Dimers Sports Betting Podcast - Episode 1

Leg 3: James Cook Anytime TD Scorer

For our final leg, we'll look for James Cook to make his way into the endzone on Sunday Night Football.

The Bills RB rattled off 19 touchdowns between the regular season and playoffs last year as the Bills leaned on their ground game without a reliable WR corps which they haven't done much to in the offseason.

The Ravens own a stout rushing defense, allowing just 12 scores on the ground last year and Cook didn't get in in either matchup vs. the Ravens, though one of those was a 35-10 blowout in which they stopped running the ball early.

Where Cook primarily excelled w3as in the red zone, turning 48 carries inside the 20 into 12 scores. If they get in scoring range, he's a huge piece of their attack.

Cook gets our second-highest TD probability in this game at 51.1%, even giving us a little value with the plus money.

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