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NFL anytime touchdown scorer predictions for Week 1 include Derrick Henry, Bijan Robinson [2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Pat Sharyon, Content Writer
Get NFL anytime TD scorer picks today with projections for every matchup
Our NFL touchdown predictions for Week 1 are live—with Derrick Henry and Bijan Robinson projected as two of the most likely players to score according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.
The below projections come from Dimers Pro's proprietry model, with our NFL touchdown predictions highlighting which players have the best chance of scoring a touchdown this weekend.
In this article, you'll find for Week 1:
- Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
- First touchdown scorer predictions
- Touchdown scorer prop bets
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions for NFL Week 1, 2025
| Player (Team) | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Derrick Henry (Ravens) | 58.3% |
| Bijan Robinson (Falcons) | 57.9% |
| Kyren Williams (Rams) | 57.4% |
| Josh Jacobs (Packers) | 🔒 |
| Jonathan Taylor (Colts) | 🔒 |
| Chase Brown (Bengals) | 🔒 |
| De'Von Achane (Dolphins) | 🔒 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs (Lions) | 🔒 |
| James Conner (Cardinals) | 🔒 |
| Bucky Irving (Buccaneers) | 🔒 |
According to Dimers Pro's proprietary data-driven analysis, Henry leads our Week 1 touchdown projections with a 58.3% chance to score, followed by Robinson (57.9%) and Kyren Williams (57.4%).
Want the full set of touchdown projections across every Week 1 matchup? Join Dimers Pro with code FOOTBALL for 50% off.
Already a Pro member? Head to our full NFL player projections, where you can sort by anytime TD, first TD, or even 2+ and 3+ touchdowns to find every player’s scoring probabilities.
First touchdown predictions for NFL Week 1, 2025
| Player (Team) | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Kyren Williams (Rams) | 17.1% |
| James Conner (Cardinals) | 16.4% |
| Derrick Henry (Ravens) | 15.2% |
| Bijan Robinson (Falcons) | 🔒 |
| Jonathan Taylor (Colts) | 🔒 |
| De'Von Achane (Dolphins) | 🔒 |
| Chase Brown (Bengals) | 🔒 |
| Ashton Jeanty (Raiders) | 🔒 |
| Josh Jacobs (Packers) | 🔒 |
| Bucky Irving (Buccaneers) | 🔒 |
Along with anytime touchdown projections, our model also simulates which players are most likely to score the first TD in each game. For Week 1, Kyren Williams tops the list with a 17.1% chance to strike first.
Best NFL anytime touchdown scorer picks for Week 1, 2025
After thousands of simulations, incorporating the latest injury news and projected lineups, our model has pinpointed the best NFL touchdown scorer bet for Week 1.
David Montgomery anytime touchdown scorer (+155)
- Odds: +155
- Edge: 6.5%
- Probability: 45.7%
- Game: Lions vs. Packers (4:25PM ET, Sunday)
The best NFL touchdown bet for Week 1 is in the Lions vs. Packers matchup on Sunday, where our model has found an edge of 6.5% on David Montgomery (DET) to score an anytime TD at odds of +155 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Dimers Pro delivers NCAAF touchdown predictions and more. Join now for Week 1 college football predictions, data-led college football parlay picks, college football player props and the best NCAAF bets today—all powered by our data-driven simulations.
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Conclusion
For Week 1 of the 2025 NFL season, our touchdown scorer predictions are set, with Derrick Henry emerging as the most likely anytime TD scorer, while Kyren Williams leads the way as the top candidate to strike first. Still, it’s David Montgomery who stands out as the best bet, with our model uncovering a 6.5% edge at +155 odds to find the end zone.
These insights are powered by thousands of simulations and the latest lineup and injury data, giving you a sharper edge on NFL touchdown scorer markets. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.
Pat Sharyon is an experienced writer who specializes in NFL and college football while also covering tennis, MLB, golf and a variety of international sports. Hailing originally from Boston, Massachusetts, Pat has a degree in linguistics from the University of California at Santa Cruz.
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