10 Best NFL Player Prop Bets For Sunday November 20, 2022

We've dived deep into our predictive analytics model, otherwise known as DimersBOT, to identify the best odds and betting opportunities, plus the best NFL player props for Sunday November 20, 2022. Using the world renowned Monte Carlo method, we have simulated every major pro and college sport over 10,000 times to produce NFL predictions that paint the clearest picture of what is likely to occur in any given game, and which players will contribute to those predictions either hitting or missing. We then use these suggested prop bets and match them against the sportsbooks' odds to identify where we have a betting edge, and where we believe the odds makers have got it wrong in their assessment of a NFL matchup.

Taking the First Touchdown, Anytime Touchdown, Receiving Yards, Passing Yards, Rushing Yards, Completions, Passing Attempts and Receptions player prop markets, and then matching them against the results of our simulations, gives us a massive opportunity to identify the 10 best plus money player prop bets for Sunday, with the biggest edges, to throw our cash down on today.

For NFL prop bets from EVERY game being played today, check out our NFL Prop Bets generator to find yourself today's best plays.

NFL Player Props Sunday

We're changing things up a little today, focusing only on plus-money props from Sunday's Week 11 NFL slate. Below, we've listed the 10 best plays for the day and the sportsbook to bet them at in order to get the biggest edge.

Commanders vs. Texans

BET: Davis Mills Over 19.5 Passing Completions (+100)

DimersBOT has Mills as an 78.9% chance of going Over the 19.5 passing completions line set by the sportsbooks for the Texans clash with the Commanders today. With odds of +100 available, betting his Over 19.5 completions line gives us a huge edge of 28.9%. We need to place this bet at DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users get $200 in bonuses from a $5 money line bet. Claim it here.

BET: Davis Mills Over 32.5 Passing Attempts (+100)

We also think Mills is a 68.3% chance of smashing through his passing attempts line against Washington today. With odds of +100 available, betting his Over 32.5 gives us an edge of 18.3%. To get full bang for our buck, we need to place this bet at BetMGM Sportsbook, where new users get a $1000 risk-free bet. Claim it here.

Bears vs. Falcons

BET: David Montgomery Over 15.5 Receiving Yards (+110)

The super computer has Montgomery going over his receiving yards number today against the Falcons. At odds of +110, we're betting him to go Over 15.5 receiving yards at a 75.6% probability, with an edge of 28.0%. To get max bang for our buck we need to place this bet at Caesars Sportsbook and is a bet we can place with confidence. New Caesars customers can secure a risk-free bet of us to $1250! Claim yours here.

BET: David Montgomery Over 2.5 Receptions (+135)

We're all over Montgomery today against Detroit, this time targeting his receptions line of 2.5. According to DimersBOT, Montgomery is a 68.1% chance of going beyond the 2.5 mark set by the books. So, when you consider the odds of +135 on offer, this gives us a 25.6% edge at BetMGM Sportsbook, where new users get a $1000 risk-free bet. Claim it here.

BET: Marcus Mariota Over 23.5 Passing Attempts (+100)

After over 10,000 sims of this game, our predictive analytics model has determined that the 23.5 passing attempts line set for Mariota is way too low and that he is a 68.1% chance of going over this mark against Bearts today. We're getting odds of +100 over at FanDuel Sportsbook, so the Over represents a big edge of 18.1% and is another bet we can place with confidence.

Lions vs. Giants

BET: Saquon Barkley Over 3.5 Receptions (+108)

Our predictive analytics model has Saquon down as a 75.1% chance of going Over his line of 3.5 completions today against the Lions, so with nice odds of +108 available we have a 27.0% edge over at DraftKings Sportsbook.

BET: Kalif Raymond Under 2.5 Receptions (+105)

We predict Raymond is an 75.3% chance of staying Under the 2.5 receptions line set by the sportsbooks. The Under presents a massive edge of 26.5%, so to ensure we get full bang for our buck here, we need to place this bet at BetMGM Sportsbook, where new users get a $1000 risk-free bet. Claim it here.

Remember, if your game is not here, check out our NFL Prop Bets generator to find yourself today's best plays from EVERY game.

Chiefs vs. Chargers

BET: Kadarius Toney Under 4.5 Receptions (+105)

We've marked Toney down as a 68.2% chance of missing this receptions line tonight against the Chargers, so with odds of +105 available we should bet this with DraftKings Sportsbook where we have a 19.4% edge. You can register a DraftKings account here and score a $200 in bonuses from a $5 money line bet.

Rams vs. Saints

BET: Jarvis Landry Over 3.5 Receptions (+108)

DimersBOT has Landry as a 66.3% chance of going over his receptions line against the Rams today, and with odds of +108 available, betting his Over 3.5 gives us a nice edge of 18.2%. To get full bang for our buck, we need to place this bet at BetMGM Sportsbook, where new users get a $1000 risk-free bet. Claim it here.

Raiders vs. Broncos

BET: Russell Wilson Over 31.5 Passing Attempts (+110)

Will Russ be cooking today? Our predictive analytics model has determined that the 31.5 passing attempts line set for Russ is too low and that he is a 64.6% chance of going over this mark against the Raiders today and we need to place this bet at PointsBet. Better yet, new PointsBet customers can score 5x $100 risk-free bets by joining today right here.

Remember, if your game is not here, check out our NFL Prop Bets generator to find yourself today's best plays from EVERY game.