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Newcastle vs. Arsenal prediction, odds, Premier League picks [9/28/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Newcastle vs Arsenal predictions for Premier League Sunday.
Newcastle will square off with Arsenal in Premier League action on Sunday, beginning at 11:30AM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven Premier League model predicts Arsenal as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Newcastle-Arsenal game," said Jason Bevilacqua from Dimers.
"After incorporating the most recent updates and numerous additional inputs, our prediction gives Newcastle a 22.4% chance of winning, Arsenal a 53.4% chance, and a 24.2% chance of a draw."
For expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Newcastle vs. Arsenal predictions page.
Newcastle vs. Arsenal prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Premier League match between Newcastle and Arsenal 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 22.4% chance of Newcastle winning, a 53.4% chance for Arsenal, and a 24.2% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.
Newcastle vs. Arsenal odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Newcastle | Arsenal | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +240 | +120 | +225 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +116 | -142 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.
Newcastle vs. Arsenal picks and best bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Newcastle vs. Arsenal matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best Premier League picks and Premier League best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Newcastle vs. Arsenal: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Arsenal win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| NEW 0-1 ARS | 11.6% |
| NEW 1-1 ARS | 11.5% |
| NEW 1-2 ARS | 9.7% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 51.3% chance that both teams scoring, and a 48.7% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.
Newcastle vs. Arsenal game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Premier League matchup between Newcastle and Arsenal is scheduled to start in the USA at 11:30AM ET.
Dimers' in-depth preview of Sunday's Newcastle vs. Arsenal matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Arsenal vs. Newcastle picks, be sure to check out the latest Premier League predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Newcastle has a 22.4% win probability on Sunday, Arsenal has a 53.4% win probability, and there is a 24.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Newcastle vs. Arsenal insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on Premier League
Keep up with the latest Premier League news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Premier League futures odds offer the most accurate projections for the Premier League title.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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