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Yankees vs. Orioles Prediction: Baltimore Predicted to Win Wednesday's MLB Matchup [4/30/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Wednesday's New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles matchup.
The Baltimore Orioles will face the New York Yankees, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Wednesday, beginning at 6:35PM ET.
Cade Povich (1-2, 5.04 ERA) will be the starting pitcher for the Orioles, while the Yankees have opted for Carlos Carrasco (2-1, 5.26 ERA).
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Orioles as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NY Yankees-Baltimore game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate the Orioles' chance of winning at 52%, with the Yankees at 48%."
For expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Yankees vs. Orioles predictions page.
Orioles vs. Yankees Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's MLB matchup between the Yankees and Orioles 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Orioles a 52% chance of defeating the Yankees.
According to our model, the Orioles (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the 9.5-run over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Yankees vs. Orioles Odds [4/30/2025]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Yankees | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+155) | +1.5 (-185) |
| Moneyline | +108 | -120 |
| Total | o9.5 (-102) | u9.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Yankees vs. Orioles Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Yankees vs. Orioles matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Calling Our Shot's Free ⚾️ Picks
Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the best bets featured below.
Yankees vs. Orioles Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Wednesday's MLB game between the Orioles and Yankees at Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled to start at 6:35PM ET.
- Who: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
- Date: Wednesday, April 30, 2025
- Time: 6:35PM ET/3:35PM PT
- Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Dimers.com's full preview of Wednesday's Yankees vs. Orioles matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any NY Yankees vs. Baltimore picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights
- Explore how MLB odds work and dive into MLB live betting strategies
- Understand where sports odds come from and how they're applied to baseball matchups
- Learn how to use Dimers Futures to find long-term betting opportunities as the World Series draws closer
- Stay informed with where online sports betting is currently legal and which betting sites are safest to use
- Boost your success with strategies to win at sports betting and explore why MLB is one of the best leagues to bet on
Conclusion
We predict the Orioles, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Yankees on Wednesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Yankees vs. Orioles insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on MLB
Stay up-to-date with the latest MLB betting news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds offer the most accurate projections for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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