Mets vs. Pirates Prediction: Mets Predicted to Win Saturday's MLB Matchup [6/28/2025]

MLB action continues on Saturday at 4:05PM ET as the New York Mets take on the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park.

The Pirates will send Bailey Falter (6-3, 3.59 ERA) to the mound, while the Mets are going with Paul Blackburn (0-2, 6.62 ERA).

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Mets as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Mets-Pirates game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Mets are more likely to win, while the Pirates have a lower chance of victory."

For expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Mets vs. Pirates predictions page.

Pirates vs. Mets Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLB game between the Mets and Pirates 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Mets a 57% chance of defeating the Pirates.

According to our model, the Pirates (+1.5) have a 56% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 9.5 runs has a 52% chance of staying under.

Mets vs. Pirates Odds [6/28/2025]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Mets	Pirates
Run Line	-1.5 (+115)	+1.5 (-130)
Moneyline	-142	+125
Total	o9.5 (-102)	u9.5 (-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Mets vs. Pirates Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Mets vs. Pirates matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot's Free MLB Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest free picks featured below.

Mets vs. Pirates Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's MLB game between the Pirates and Mets at PNC Park is scheduled to commence at 4:05PM ET.

• Who: New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
• Date: Saturday, June 28, 2025
• Time: 4:05PM ET/1:05PM PT
• Venue: PNC Park

Dimers.com's full preview of Saturday's Mets vs. Pirates matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Mets vs. Pirates picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Mets, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Pirates on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mets vs. Pirates insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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