Mets vs. Phillies prediction: Why Philadelphia is favored to win Tuesday's MLB matchup [9/9/2025]

The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets will lock horns in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday, starting at 6:45PM ET.

Ranger Suárez (11-6, 2.89 ERA) will get the ball for the Phillies, while the Mets have opted for Sean Manaea (1-2, 5.60 ERA).

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model predicts the Phillies as the most likely winner of today's game.

For a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Mets vs. Phillies predictions page.

Phillies vs. Mets prediction: Who will win, cover the run line?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's MLB game between the Mets and Phillies 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Phillies a 54% chance of defeating the Mets.

According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 65% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8 runs has a 54% chance of going over.

Mets vs. Phillies odds [9/9/2025]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Mets	Phillies
Run Line	+1.5 (-184)	-1.5 (+165)
Moneyline	+118	-135
Total	o8 (+100)	u8 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Mets vs. Phillies picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Mets vs. Phillies matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot's best bets today

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest free picks featured below.

Mets vs. Phillies game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's MLB game between the Phillies and Mets at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to commence at 6:45PM ET.

• Who: New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies
• Date: Tuesday, September 9, 2025
• Time: 6:45PM ET/3:45PM PT
• Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Dimers' comprehensive preview of Tuesday's Mets vs. Phillies matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Mets vs. Phillies picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Phillies, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Mets on Tuesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mets vs. Phillies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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