Mets vs. Phillies Prediction: Philadelphia Predicted to Win Sunday's MLB Matchup [6/22/2025]

The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets will lock horns in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday, starting at 7:10PM ET.

The Phillies will start Jesús Luzardo (6-3, 4.41 ERA), up against David Peterson (5-2, 2.60 ERA) for the Mets.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Phillies as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Mets-Phillies game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Phillies with a win probability of 52%, while the Mets have 48%."

For further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Mets vs. Phillies predictions page.

Phillies vs. Mets Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB game between the Mets and Phillies 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Phillies a 52% chance of beating the Mets.

According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 65% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Mets vs. Phillies Odds [6/22/2025]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Mets	Phillies
Run Line	+1.5 (-220)	-1.5 (+165)
Moneyline	+101	-118
Total	o8.5 (-120)	u8.5 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Mets vs. Phillies Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Mets vs. Phillies matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot's Free MLB Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the predictions featured below.

Mets vs. Phillies Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's MLB game between the Phillies and Mets at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to start at 7:10PM ET.

• Who: New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies
• Date: Sunday, June 22, 2025
• Time: 7:10PM ET/4:10PM PT
• Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Mets vs. Phillies matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Mets vs. Phillies picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights

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Conclusion

We predict the Phillies, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Mets on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mets vs. Phillies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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